Chart of FP availability June 60+ days out

[Ariel620]

I just posted this in another thread, but in case it helps anyone else plan, I wanted to make another thread for it. After I booked my FP for June, I made a chart of which FP were available 60+ days out (I did this at lunchtime, so availability might be better at 7am, but I also only searched 1 person, so it might be worse for a larger group)

This was the worst FP availability I ever saw, and there are some rumors that maybe it is due to reduced capacity of the parks for safety. I'm still happy with what I got and will be thrilled if we still get to go in June!

 

[kelsum01]

WOW, this is very telling. Thank you for doing the homework! Looks like the days we're there has limited availability but our plan is to lounge by the pool most days anyway.

 

[gottalovepluto]

Very neat! Thanks!

 

[Stormtrooper mum]

I just posted this in another thread, but in case it helps anyone else plan, I wanted to make another thread for it. After I booked my FP for June, I made a chart of which FP were available 60+ days out (I did this at lunchtime, so availability might be better at 7am, but I also only searched 1 person, so it might be worse for a larger group)

This was the worst FP availability I ever saw, and there are some rumors that maybe it is due to reduced capacity of the parks for safety. I'm still happy with what I got and will be thrilled if we still get to go in June!

View attachment 486910

Eek! Fingers crossed we find out an explanation soon from Disney so can plan

 

[DisSurfer878]

Eek! Fingers crossed we find out an explanation soon from Disney so can plan

You can keep crossing your fingers lol. Disney is not going to admit to anything, and if/when they do, it won't be more than 72 hours in advance.

 

[Lumpy1106]

Not sure what to make of that, but here's what it does tell me - if they are allowing you to book FP's, the rumors about the plan to open the hotels before the parks is not true. As for your findings;

1. Could be they are distributing 1/2 as many FP's, but that tells me that the possibility that they are going to reduce the number of people in the parks is still very much on the table. I doubt they would distribute 1/2 as many FP's and have longer standby lines on purpose.
2. Nothing has changed operationally and the parks are going to be crazy busy.
3. One other possibility - everyone is just sitting around at home and so a lot more people were free to log on first thing and snag FP's.

IMHO, option 1 seems the most likely, especially for June. Crowds are supposed to be smaller when the parks first open, at least for a couple of months.

 

[TOPUMP]

going to put a crimp in a lot of peoples plans so few FP'S

 

[e_yerger]

If the goal is to let less people in the parks, then less fast passes makes sense. Standbys will be even shorter due to limited capacity. Think After Hours event.

 

[scard192]

going to put a crimp in a lot of peoples plans so few FP'S

we postponed our April trip to October. If this how FP+ is in the fall, may rethink going this year at all unless Disney offers a BIG discount. I understand what might be the reasons behind this FP+ strategy, but no way I am paying pre-Covid-19 prices for limited access.

 

[Upatnoon]

I would speculate what we looking at are just automated systems releasing fastpasses or just a baseline of FPs that keep the system working.

If they shut down the FP system, even more people would cancel reservations and Disney wants to hold that off as long as possible.

Until Disney decides when to open the parks and how to operate them post-shutdown, I would say booking them is more aspirational than realistic.

 

[whiporee]

One thing that can't do is prevent resort guests from going to the parks. So at a minimum, you'll have however many resort guests they decide to book.

A decent number of those rooms were already planned on before any of this happened. We'll never know their cancellation rates, but my guess is they won't be astronomical even in June. So if we're going to assume even a low summer number like 70 percent occupancy, that still means 25,000 rooms. if you figure a conservative three people a room, that's 75,000 people on site. The normal breakdown for attendance is about 40 percent to MK, with the other three splitting the difference.

So assuming any of those numbers are correct, then you'd have very light days at AK and Epcot. HS will still have its run because of the new stuff and MK will have about 30,000. About what most have figures a Halloween or Christmas party crowd.

So for those numbers and that shortage, they're reducing FP capacity. I don't know the strategy, but it's gott be something like that.

 

[e_yerger]

One thing that can't do is prevent resort guests from going to the parks. So at a minimum, you'll have however many resort guests they decide to book.

A decent number of those rooms were already planned on before any of this happened. We'll never know their cancellation rates, but my guess is they won't be astronomical even in June. So if we're going to assume even a low summer number like 70 percent occupancy, that still means 25,000 rooms. if you figure a conservative three people a room, that's 75,000 people on site. The normal breakdown for attendance is about 40 percent to MK, with the other three splitting the difference.

So assuming any of those numbers are correct, then you'd have very light days at AK and Epcot. HS will still have its run because of the new stuff and MK will have about 30,000. About what most have figures a Halloween or Christmas party crowd.

So for those numbers and that shortage, they're reducing FP capacity. I don't know the strategy, but it's gott be something like that.

That’s what I’m thinking too - parks open to resort guests only.
Then heavy cleaning, temp checks etc at hotels and parks.

 

[Upatnoon]

They don't have to open all the parks. I wouldn't be surprised if they started with just one and as someone said, only resort guests. They could also start with limited resorts as well, for example only the DVC resorts and deluxe resorts. Time will tell, but I would expect they would want to keep attendance spread out. They could split a park "day" into two shifts, and "A" in the morning from 7 to 3 p.m. and a "B" from 3 p.m. to midnight or something.

 

[whiporee]

But all those room in the other resorts have been booked. Dining reservations made; in some cases FP planned. I can see them opening just to resort guests, but they can't deny someone who's already booked the full benefits of the resort.

I mean they CAN, but it would be even worse PR to open only for their most exclusive rooms. Plus, that would also have people moving to those resorts and increasing the density at them.

 

[DisneyJColeMom]

we postponed our April trip to October. If this how FP+ is in the fall, may rethink going this year at all unless Disney offers a BIG discount. I understand what might be the reasons behind this FP+ strategy, but no way I am paying pre-Covid-19 prices for limited access.

EXACTLY!! Paying full price for limited access is RIDICULOUS.

 

[Upatnoon]

I am just speculating on how Disney could slowly reopen and limit crowds. Likely people who have booked and don't like the new rules will be able to cancel and get their money back.