While I completely agree with "buy where you want to stay" -- That assumes you are getting value from buying. It's not like owning DVC is the only way to stay in the resort. So if buying doesn't give you value in the place where you want to stay.... then go stay without buying.
And unless you can really maximize your BWV points, it may indeed make more sense to stay without buying. You can rent points, you can book cash rooms.
For example, a preferred studio at BWV for the summer is 132 points for a week. At a median price of $152 per point, that's $20,064. But wait.... you probably won't find an exact 132 point resale contract. So let's say you need to buy 150 points to get your 1 week in a preferred studio -- $22,800 --- Call it $24,000 with closing costs.
That's the equivalent of paying $1675 per year. ($24,000 up front is more than $1263 per year because you're losing the the interest on the principal, assuming approximately 3% rate of return, paying $24,000 up front for 19 years is the equivalent of paying $1675 per year).
Annual dues of $8.08 per point, for 150 points -- $1,212 ---
So the cost of BWV ownership is $2,887 per year.
Renting just the points you need ... 132 points, at between $16 and $21 per point -- $2112 to $2,772.
So even paying $21 per point -- Renting is $100 per year cheaper than owning. If you can get the points for $16, then you are saving over $700 per year by NOT owning.
Ahh.. but renting is "risky." Can be harder to not be in control of the reservation.
Well... for a week this summer with available discounts, can get a resort room at Boardwalk Inn for $3256. Yes, that's more than owning. But for a $369 extra -- You get a reservation safer than buying or renting points. Ability to get a full refund, unlike owning where you you may end up with points in holding, or run out of time to use the points.
Yes, if you maximize your points -- That gives you an 11% savings from owning vs cash rooms.
But more expensive than renting.
For me, if I'm going to buy DVC, with all the inconveniences of pre-paying, having to book 11 months in advance, not having full housekeeping, etc... then I want more than an 11% savings over cash rooms.
And I definitely want buying to be cheaper than renting points.
At this juncture, it's just hard to see the value proposition in buying BWV.
Yes -- Buy where you want to stay. But you don't have to buy. You can stay where you want to stay.. without buying.