Originally posted by jrydberg
I don't think Kerry will pull the troops out. He has made no indication that I've seen that he will do so.
Kerry Withdrawal Pledge Sharpens Iraq Debate
AFP: 8/10/2004
by Peter Mackler
WASHINGTON, Aug 10 (AFP) - Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry`s pledge to slash US troop levels in Iraq by next August has sharpened a debate over the war that had produced bitter exchanges but no hint of an exit strategy.
Under pressure to offer a clear alternative to President George W. Bush, Kerry promised last week to "significantly" draw down the 138,000-strong US force in Iraq within eight months of taking office.
The Massachusetts senator said that using diplomacy to raise more international help and accelerating the training of Iraqi security forces, "it is appropriate to have a goal of reducing our troops over that period time."
The Republicans have also vowed to withdraw US troops as soon as possible but refuse to set a timetable. Bush said while campaigning on Friday that an immediate pullout would lead to "mayhem and bloodshed" in Iraq.
"The mission is ... (to have) a democratic Iraq, where they have elections to elect their government," he said. "We will stay there until the job is completed and our commanders on the ground tell us."
The notion of a withdrawal timetable injected a new dimension into sparring over the Iraq operation that had left voters seeing little substantive daylight between the two candidates in the November election.
A Gallup poll 10 days ago showed Americans evenly divided between Kerry and Bush when it comes to managing Iraq. But 42 percent thought the president had a clear plan for the future while only 38 percent felt the Democrat did.
Although a majority of the country disapproves of Bush`s policies in Iraq and nearly half feel the March 2003 invasion was a mistake, Kerry has been bedeviled by the issue as well.
Kerry voted to authorise the use of military force against Saddam Hussein before turning critical of the war and the administration`s failure to find suspected Iraqi weapons of mass destruction or a link to al-Qaeda terrorists.
His acknowledgment Monday that he would have voted the same way in 2002, even knowing what he knows now, drew derision and a claim of political vindication Tuesday from Bush.
"He now agrees it was the right decision to go into Iraq," Bush told a campaign rally in Florida. "I want to thank Senator Kerry for clearing that up."
Kerry`s national security adviser Rand Beers countered that "the issue has never been whether we were right to hold Saddam accountable. The issue is that we went to war without our allies, without properly equipping our troops and without a plan to win the peace."
Kerry is also facing heat from left-wing Democrats seeking an outright pullout from Iraq, but he has vowed to "stay the course" to keep Iraq stable and even send in more troops if necessary.
The veteran lawmaker and Vietnam war hero has provided few specifics of his troop draw-down plan and has yet to explain how it squares with the need to keep Iraq from becoming a "failed state."
On Monday, he was giving himself some wiggle room, saying his ability to bring the troops home would depend on events in Iraq, including the success in building up Iraqi security forces and holding scheduled elections in January.
"If things don`t go well initially, that means any cutbacks in American forces will come slower," said his senior foreign policy adviser James Rubin.
Analysts were divided whether other nations would contribute any significant number of troops to allow an American withdrawal. They also said the Iraqi security forces have been slow to get organised.
But Kerry is making the issue one of personal leadership and credibility, arguing that Bush`s penchant for unilateral military action has left him isolated an unable to recruit outside help.
"I`m convinced I can be more successful than President Bush in succeeding in doing that," Kerry said Monday. "It is an appropriate goal to have and I`m going to try to achieve it."
Bush campaign spokesman Terry Holt said the president had the same goals of replacing US troops with other multinational contingents and beefing up local forces.
But Holt added: "To put an artificial time frame on it is to reveal it as a campaign promise and no more."