Disney earnings offer few signs of theme-park turnaround
Featured, Jason Garcia, News By Jason Garcia on February 9, 2010 at 4:26 pm
Magic Kingdom StockWalt Disney World and the rest of the Walt Disney Co.s theme parks, battered for more than a year by the economic downturn, still arent showing many signs of a turnaround.
Disney said Tuesday that room reservations at its U.S. resorts for the January-through-March quarter are running 10 percent behind last years levels, the weakest booking pace the company has reported since the global recession began.
Consumers remain tentative, Jay Rasulo, the parks-chairman-turned-corporate-chief-financial-officer, told analysts during a conference call to discuss the companys latest quarterly earnings. We expect the environment to remain challenging in the coming quarters.
The sober outlook followed a better-than-expected fiscal first quarter for Walt Disney Parks and Resorts. After a year of plummeting profits, operating profit at the division slipped just 2 percent to $375 million during the three months that ended Jan. 3, on total revenue that was essentially unchanged at $2.7 billion.
Those results, along with improved advertising sales at the companys cable-TV networks, helped Disney top Wall Street estimates in the final three months of 2009 with a quarterly profit of $844 million, flat with a year earlier. Total revenue inched up 1 percent to $9.7 billion.
The first-quarter results for the parks were inflated by a quirk in Disneys fiscal calendar: Because the quarter ended Jan. 3, it included the full benefit of the Christmas-New Years holiday travel rush unlike the previous year, when Disneys fiscal first quarter ended Dec. 27.
With that favorable timing, combined attendance at Disney World and
Disneyland in Anaheim, Calif., was 9 percent higher than a year earlier. But when the New Years effect was stripped out, attendance was up 4 percent down 1 percent in Orlando but up 15 percent in California. Average hotel occupancy at Disney World was down four percentage points from a year ago, to 81 percent.
Combined guest spending between Disney World and Disneyland fell 4 percent for the quarter, reflecting the continued discounts Disney has been offering to keep its theme-park turnstiles clicking.
While Disney has in recent months been attempting to wean travelers off such promotions by offering less-generous packages, company executives acknowledged Tuesday that pulling back is tricky.
What we do is we test the marketplace.
You maintain pricing meaning higher pricing to a point, and, then, if the marketplace doesnt respond to that, thats when you judiciously roll out your promotional strategy, Disney Co. President and Chief Executive Officer Bob Iger said. Im pretty confident that were going to be able to drive the volume that we need over the course of the year. The question is how much we will have to discount to get it.
Those discounts might have to deepen quickly for Disney to narrow the 10 percent booking gap going forward, said Laura Martin, a stock-research analyst with Needham & Co.
Theyll have to add back promotions, Martin said, though she said she still does not expect the discounts to be as deep as they were in early 2009, when the global recession was at its worst point.
Disney, Martin added, also appears to be grappling now with some of the downside to its discount strategy. The soft pace of bookings so far this spring, she said, suggests that last years promotions may have left a whole in demand this year, as vacationers who might have made their trips in 2010 traveled in 2009 instead to take advantage of the deals.
It looks as if they may have pulled attendance from this year into last year, Martin said.
Still, Disney said it is confident that at least some of the lag in future bookings will narrow, given travelers increasing tendency to wait until the last minute to book trips. The 10 percent that we are down today for me is not fully indicative of where the quarter is going to end up, Rasulo said.
Beyond its theme parks, Disney was once again boosted by its television networks, where operating profit climbed 11 percent to $724 million. Disneys cable-TV channels were again a particular source of strength; sports giant ESPN, for example, churned out record ratings and higher affiliate and advertising revenue.
After a dismal fiscal 2009, operating profit at Disneys movie studios rose 30 percent during the first quarter to $243 million, and executives said they have high hopes for upcoming releases such as Alice in Wonderland and Toy Story 3. Iger said Toy Story 3, which will be infused throughout the companys properties, represents the essence of our franchise strategy.
Operating profit at Disneys consumer-products division fell 8 percent to $243 million, weighed down by slowing sales of High School Musical and Hannah Montana merchandise. Losses at Disneys video-game unit narrowed from $45 million to $10 million.
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