I like how you hedge your bets.
No, not hedging. You're missing the point.
The point is: We don't know. And you can't just assume the Avatar trilogy will follow the path of the Matrix trilogy.
It could very well follow the path of the Star Wars trilogy.
BOTH paths are possible.
Star Wars was a good movie with cool special effects. Avatar was a bad movie with cool special effects. Can't really compare them.
IN YOUR OPINION. There are plenty who disagree. I know die hard sci fi fanatics who will tell you that New Hope is a HORRIBLE move with pretty special effects. I know people who wouldn't give sci fi a passing sniff who will tell you they LOVED Avatar (and not because of it's pretty pictures). Different strokes, and all that.
You can absolutely compare them. You might not want to..but that's your bias, not the materials. They are both Sci Fi movies (meaning SW:Ep 4/New Hope and Avatar). Both were incredibly popular at the Box office. Both were something of a phenom/event in their times.
And lets be clear: Star Wars:A New Hope is a homage to B-movie type serials and pulp sci-fi, with thin characters, a predictable (and time worn) plot, and poor dialogue. There are hundreds of pulp sci-fi novels/stories with similar themes and plot. Now, don't get me wrong: The original trilogy are amongst my favorite movies of all time (and Empire is #2 behind Shawshank). But lets not pretend the first movie was perfect....it's BEST feature was it's fully realized universe/world.
You can't compare the fully realized, historical FACT of the success of the SW trilogy(trilogies?) to ONE avatar movie. True. Because the book hasn't been fully written on the complete Avatar trilogy. But discounting the possibility that Avatar COULD go down the same path as SW is just as silly as discounting the possibility that it COULD go down the same path as the Matrix.
You certainly can say that there is a possibility that the Avatar trilogy COULD follow the path of the original SW trilogy. COULD.
Unless you're using "nonplussed" incorrectly (and a word to the wise - it isn't hyphenated), I don't get your other point.
1) I'm using it correctly (though in a more informal way):
(US, informal) Unfazed, unaffected, or unimpressed.
2) To be perfectly blunt: I could care less about any spelling corrections, grammar corrections, or punctuation corrections found in my INFORMAL posts on an INFORMAL message board. So, please, save them for someone else.....
The point being:
The W. brothers previous works (prior to The Matrix) were pretty unremarkable. Matrix was remarkable. Everything AFTER the original in that series, by the W. brothers, has (arguably) been as unremarkable as what came before. Only the budgets got bigger. If, at the time of The Matrix sequel announcments, you looked back at their previous material...there was reason to worry about what form those sequels would take.
Cameron's work, BEFORE Avatar has been remarkable, not only in it's quality, but also in it's ability to generate cash/ticket sales.
One track record would lead you to be MORE confident than the other.