So, here is what I could put together for the passes that are most relevant to
DVC members:
Gold (OLD):
New (DVC): $719.00 plus tax All Ages
Renew (DVC) : $611.00 plus tax All Ages
Platinum (OLD):
New (Normal): $1,195 plus tax
Renew (Normal): $951 plus tax
New (DVC): $899.00 plus tax All Ages
Renew (DVC): $764.00 plus tax All Ages
Sorcerer (most closely related to Old Gold):
New: $899 plus tax All Ages
Renew: $764 plus tax All Ages
Incredi-pass (most closely related to Old Platinum)
New: $1,299 plus tax All Ages
Renew: $1,104 plus tax All Ages
Photopass option for new AP types:
$99 plus tax
Waterpark option for new AP types:
$99 plus tax
One thing to keep in mind: Disney World AP prices haven't increased since February 2020. If you factor in 1.5 years of the normal price increases that haven't happened on the old Gold/Plat AP pricing (estimating 7% price increases):
Annual Increase adjusted Gold (OLD):
New (DVC): $769.00 plus tax All Ages
Renew (DVC) : $654.00 plus tax All Ages
Annual Increase adjusted Platinum (OLD):
New (Normal): $1,279.00 plus tax
Renew (Normal): $1,018.00 plus tax
New (DVC): $962.00 plus tax All Ages
Renew (DVC): $817.00 plus tax All Ages
I rounded the prices above to the nearest whole dollar
A few things we don't know:
Will DVC members receive a discount on the new AP prices? I could see them instituting a similar discount to what we currently get, which would take $100-$200 off the price. The press announcement they put out wouldn't advertise the discount(s) that we get, and that information would become available on the DVC website when they update it for the new AP types.
Assuming we don't get any discounts, I would base any comparisons based on what would've been the normal annual price increases that actually haven't happened.
Gold vs Sorcerer (new): $769 vs $899 = $130 "beyond normal" price increase
Gold vs Sorcerer (renew) $654 vs $764 = $110 "beyond normal" price increase
Platinum vs Incredi-pass (new): $962 vs $1299 = $337 "beyond normal" price increase
Platinum vs Incredi-pass (renew): $764 vs $1104 = $340 "beyond normal" price increase
Based on the above numbers, I suspect there will be a DVC discount announced of some sort. Right now the DVC discount on platinum annual passes is about $296 for new passes and $187 for renewals. Obviously, this is a big wild card and will change any numbers significantly. I'd suggest holding off judgement until we can see what those discounts are, if any.
Making a few assumptions: DVC members didn't get any special discount on Gold passes, as it was the same price for FL residents and DVC members. Arguably, they would probably do the same thing for the Sorcerer pass and DVC members wouldn't see any further discounts on that. Incredi-pass could conceivably get a $200-$400 discount for DVC members, making the price for that pass in the $899-$1099 range for DVC members. This puts it more in-line with the current costs on the same pass.
Additionally, folks have to consider the water parks and photopass options now. Not having photopasses included any longer is a removed benefit. Fortunately, all signs seem to point to that only one person needs it to be able to get photos. So one person could just get the $100 add-on and get it for everyone for the full year. This is still another price increase, if you cared about the photopass downloads. I know a lot of folks complained a few years ago when they significantly raised AP prices and justified it by including photopass into the cost.
Having the option of adding water parks is a bonus. The price difference between Platinum and Platinum Plus passes was already $100. So, in theory, this is a $1 discount on that (hooray!) but having the option of adding water parks to any sized annual pass is a benefit. Previously, you would've had to do a gold pass and a separate disney world water parks annual pass. Water park annual pass is/was $139. So this is a $40 discount on that option for everyone.
With all of the above analysis there is still the big unknown of any DVC discounts. Even with any presumed DVC discounts, it's still a price increase above what would've been normal price increases...especially if you made good use of the photopass options.
