I'm hoping for tomorrow...but, if it doesn't happen tomorrow...it should be sometime soon.
The rates were released May 6th last year...but, the dates for those rates actually started on May 26th. So, that was only 20 days before the first "eligible stay" date. If that were the case this year, the date for release would be 5/18/09 for 6/7/09 start.
As for predicting the price, here's my opinion:
Value - The difference between the Spring 2009 ($64) and Spring 2008 ($74) AP rates is about 13.5%. Meaning...that this year the AP rate was about 13.5% cheaper than last year's AP rate. So...multiply 13.5% x last year's Summer AP rate ($104) and you get around $82 per night for a standard room. My guess would be $79-$82...somewhere in that range.
Moderate - The difference between the Spring 2009 ($94) and Spring 2008 ($129) AP rates is about 27%. So...multiply 27% x last year's Summer AP rate ($144) and you get around $105 per night. My guess would be $104-$106...somewhere in that range.
The Deluxes are a bit more tricky. Comparing the AP rate for the Spring of 2008 and 2009....the Wilderness Lodge pretty much stayed about the same. Last year, it was $164 on weekdays / $214 on weekends...and this year it was $184 on all days. Last year's Wilderness Lodge Summer AP rate was $199...so, I'm guess this will stay in the same ballpark figure.
The Poly and GF were each about 6.1% to 6.2% lower this Spring than last spring. That would put them at $284 for the Poly and $318 for GF for this summer.
Of course...this is all just "entertainment" math that I did to pass the time while waiting for the Summer AP rate to be released. I'm sure there is not much validity to this math...just something to pass the time.
I know in the past...we usually learn about the AP release afternoon or evening before it happens. Usually, a few AP holders get e-mails alerting them that the rates will be released on the next day and they post this info to the boards. Then, the rest of us get the e-mails a day late after the AP rates were already released
Speed
