Disney's income:
1. Selling the resorts. How much is that? Think billions total all resorts. They set the number of points needed to reserve per night per room for the resort and then basically sell the total number that is reached by the addition of what it would take to fill every room per night for a 51 week year. For each resort that number of points is in the millions. Expect the new BLT will be somewhere in the neighborhood of 8,000,000 points. At the currently discounted price of $105 per point, the sales revenue will be in the $840 million range. Of course the profit is determined after subtracting all costs of sale including the building cost, advertsing, salesmen, etc.
2. Loan financing. A lot of those persons who buy will get a loan from Disney's lending company. You can likely add several hundred more in interest inclome as a result (again you have the loan company's cost to deduct to get any profit).
3. Rentals at a resort while sales are occurring. Assume BLT opens. However, it all won't be all sold by day 1. They will have a certain proportion of sold inventory and unsold inventory, the latter of which will decrease as more sales are done. While owners are occuppying the sold inventory, Disney will be renting the leftover inventory. Revenue amount -- anyone's guess.
4. Rentals after resort sold out. DVD retains 2% to 4% interest in the resort which can be rented out, although portions may be set aside for shut-downs of some rooms. Also, it can rent any room that no DVC member has reserved by 60 days before any date. A portion of that rental income (after costs), equal to 2 1/2% of the annual operating budget (for which you pay dues) goes back to the membership in a form a set-off of future dues. Everything over that 2 1/2% goes to Disney, first to set-off costs of operating Member Services (also known as the Buena Vista Trading Company, a DVD subsidiary), and then anything left goes to DVD's management subsidiary, essentially as profit.
5. Management Fee. Each resort has an annual operating budget. It is what determines your dues. In the budget are the costs of running and maintaining the resorts, including transportation, pools, employees, insurance, many others. In other words, those employees you see working at a resort, you pay for through dues, the maintenance and repair of the pool you pay for through dues, etc., not Disney. That annual budget is in the millions for each resort, e.g., think $8 to $14 million range per resort, higher for some lower for others. As part of that budget there is a set "Management Fee" that equals 12% of all your other budgeted costs. The 12% does not change but total amount goes up as total costs in the budget go up annually. That money also can go to fund part of MS costs but likely most of it is just profit, i.e, it is essentially perpetual income for Disney as long as it runs the resorts. Total annual amount all resorts is likely in the $10 million range.
6. Trade-out fees. DVD charges any member $95 per trade-out from DVC resorts. Some but definitely not all of that is absorbed by costs to DVD of doing a trade-out, rest is profit.
7. New Deals. OKW had an expiration date of 2042. Last year Disney offerred and sold extensions of that date to 2057, thus basically starting a another sales process for the same resort. possible it will do that for others in the future. If it does not do, it eventually gets all that property back that it sold and does not have pay anything to get it back. Also, people default on loans and Disney gets back points, and it also gets points if it exercises right of first refusal in any resale by an owner, and thus Disney is perpetually getting points to sell again.
In other words, Disney has several sources for profit which continue as long as the program continues. Meanwhile, members cover all the major costs of maintaining and operating the resort. On top of that, Disney has the assurance of a captive audience. There are now about 120,000 owners (that is really about 400,000 or more people because a husband and wife owner is counted as only one owner in that figure and the number does not account for all the kids). Those are people Disney knows, for the most part, will keep coming back year after year, and spend large amounts on parks, recreation, food, and merchandise.
This is definitely a business model that works.