2026 Dues Predictions and Questions

[airjay75]

https://www.dvcresalemarket.com/buying/annual-dues/

Credit to @Genie+ for asking this in a different thread - I thought it was deserving of its own thread, so figured I would start one.

Basically, post any predictions, thoughts, or questions you might have. Which resorts do you think will see the highest percentage increases? Lowest increases? Think any resort will actually have their dues go down?

I know one question that I've thought about - how have refurbishments affected dues in the past? I presume each resort tries to budget for them the operating reserves, but also imagine some refurbs come in over or under budget? Thinking about how that might affect CCV, BLT, and AKV this year.

Share anything you'd like!

 

[Chili327]

I hate when they are listed alphabetically instead of by cost.

 

[Genie+]

I was wondering the same about if we can anticipate +/- based on the refurb schedules.

Dues definitely impact resale pricing to some extent. With some having better or worse years for how much the increase, resale prices do shift a bit around how relatively good/bad they are that year.

 

[VGCgroupie]

My prediction was AKV and Aulani will increase the most. VDH in 3rd.
Lowest RIV and Poly followed by VGF.

 

[VGCgroupie]

My prediction was AKV and Aulani will increase the most. VDH in 3rd.
Lowest RIV and Poly followed by VGF.

I should add I wonder where VGC will land. They actually could take 3rd if they are so broke thats why they refurbed it so poorly.

 

[Genie+]

I should add I wonder where VGC will land. They actually could take 3rd if they are so broke thats why they refurbed it so poorly.

That’s sad and funny at the same time.

 

[Hubalorian]

I feel like there is so much good information here
https://www.dvchelp.com/page/maintenance-fees-current-and-historical

 

[JackosinDIS]

I feel like there is so much good information here
https://www.dvchelp.com/page/maintenance-fees-current-and-historical

Don’t let facts get in the way of a good prediction thread!!

 

[disneylandtour]

I think that certain currently for-sale resorts will have minimal increases to make them more attractive to buyers. I can also see a situation where the cabins go down again next year as making purchase of them more palatable--essentially deferring required income until more contracts are sold. This is a financial smoke-and-mirrors game. So I think Poly, RIV, VDH will be minimal. Cabins will be roughly the same or go down. I agree GCV needs some love (and money). And crazy high Florida insurance costs are likely to push up the resorts with a lot of small structures, such as OKW and SSR as some of the highest increases, as multiple buildings create higher insurance costs than a single tower or structure. Everything else will be in the middle.

 

[juliebee]

I think Boulder Ridge and Boardwalk will go up... they apparently can't afford WD-40 for all the squeaky doors, so that is my prediction.

 

[disneylandtour]

I think Boulder Ridge and Boardwalk will go up... they apparently can't afford WD-40 for all the squeaky doors, so that is my prediction.

I'm at Poly this week, and man, there's some roughed up woodwork in Tokelau. Four more years until full refurb, right? Tokelau is one of my favorite places to stay at the entire resort--maybe see some fireworks from the balcony (if lucky), walk out for the electrical pageant, quick walk to the two (good) pools. (Sorry, Cove Pool.). But Tokelau too needs some love.

 

[atthebeachclub]

I thought Moorea was rough this summer, too.

 

[airjay75]

On predictions, I do like to eye that Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) number - much more reflective of the big picture, which, if you're concerned with long-term ownership, is probably more important than any particular year over year number. Setting aside CFW, which doesn't have much history, interesting to note that CCV has the lowest CAGR number as calculated by the site sponsor - 1.3%. RIV comes in at a close second with 1.6%, then Poly at 2.9%, then BWV at 3.1%. TBH, that is a pretty amazing number for BWV given how long that resort has been around. A bit harder to judge CCV and RIV given their age, and Poly is sort of weird because of the OG villas and the PIT addition.

That said, given the magic of resorts that are in active sales and their dues increases, wouldn't be surprised to see RIV take the top spot on the CAGR number.

 

[CarolynFH]

I think that certain currently for-sale resorts will have minimal increases to make them more attractive to buyers.

Remember that dues are based on projected expenses for operations and maintenance. Ever since the Aulani dues debacle, DVD has tended to overestimate expenses at new resorts for the first year or so, with the result that dues there tend to increase slowly or even decrease the first few years as other resorts’ dues increase. And eventually the new resort’s dues become less of an outlier compared to older resorts. Look at CCV’s dues when it opened - many thought they were surprisingly high.

For those not familiar with the Aulani dues debacle, read here: https://dvcnews.com/dvc-program-men...ntinel-aulani-dues-error-lead-to-lewis-ouster.

 

[disneylandtour]

Remember that dues are based on projected expenses for operations and maintenance. Ever since the Aulani dues debacle, DVD has tended to overestimate expenses at new resorts for the first year or so, with the result that dues there tend to increase slowly or even decrease the first few years as other resorts’ dues increase. And eventually the new resort’s dues become less of an outlier compared to older resorts. Look at CCV’s dues when it opened - many thought they were surprisingly high.

For those not familiar with the Aulani dues debacle, read here: https://dvcnews.com/dvc-program-men...ntinel-aulani-dues-error-lead-to-lewis-ouster.

I very clearly remember that. But also, I'm under the impression that accountants can push back income for large expenses, particularly the seven- and fourteen-year refurbs without putting any yearly operational or maintenance categories in jeopardy for a few years. Though I have no insider knowledge, it wouldn't surprise me if some cost-shifting like this goes on with newer resorts while they are actively in sales.

 

[CarolynFH]

I very clearly remember that. But also, I'm under the impression that accountants can push back income for large expenses, particularly the seven- and fourteen-year refurbs without putting any yearly operational or maintenance categories in jeopardy for a few years. Though I have no insider knowledge, it wouldn't surprise me if some cost-shifting like this goes on with newer resorts while they are actively in sales.

I haven’t looked at my dues statement recently, but I seem to remember some verbiage about remaining years of life of the roof and such like. However, I’m not an accountant and I’m not an attorney, so I don’t know how much wiggle room they have under Florida’s timeshare and condominium association laws.

 

[maui22]

The hard part with using historical data for dues is some resorts started really low.

Example, look at BLT when it opened in 2009. Oh boy do I miss those low dues. Many argued back then that Disney intentionally kept dues low until a resort sold out.

Aulani seemed to have changed the model because of the mistake.

Look at CCV when it opened. People were shocked at how high CCV was. IIRC, CCV started as the fourth highest at that time. However, it has been a slow riser.

We may see similar with CFW. Who knows?

 

[PorcoSBC]

I feel that the Riviera dues are expensive considering that is a tower hotel and newer...Compared to Bay Lake (older and with similar structure) its 1USD difference. Do any of you know the reason? I thought about the skyliner cost but BLT has the cost for the monorail as well so im not sure...

 

[airjay75]

https://dvcnews.com/dvc-program-menu/financial/annual-dues-by-resort

Some additional historical data folks may find useful.

 

[Blerghityblergh]

I should add I wonder where VGC will land. They actually could take 3rd if they are so broke thats why they refurbed it so poorly.

Oh man. I’m not an owner there but if I was and they increased dues significantly after that “refurb” I’d be SO mad.