Where do you think DVC resale prices are headed?

only you can decide. IMHO, I wouldn't buy a 2042 resort as I would hope to get my capital back selling at 10-15 year later. I bought a less expensive place we liked and were fine to stay (AKV) if the 7 month swap didn't work. It has worked about 50%. We're fine with staying at AKV then. Ideally, you want a UY right before your travel patterns, so you have longer to use/bank if plans change. It's a lot of info. Good luck.
 
Last edited:
I must of read 1000 of pages on the Disboards about buying DVC. A lot of posts have shown me the light in going for resale and not direct. I can't even find Disney's direct listings- I have to talk directly with someone with all my information. I usually go to Disney in March or April (spring break- I am a teacher). I have only stayed (through rented points) at Beach Club (AND LOVED IT). We were supposed to go to Poly and BLT this March but obviously we are rescheduled for this 2021 break. I have a 13 and 15 year old so I always want studios that fit 5 people. Moving forward, I can see wanting one bedrooms (although AK, BLT, VGF, OKW, and Riveria are only ones that fit 5?). My husband and I are 41 and I am not sure if this is a good move. He keeps thinking there is "more than Disney" out there. However, I can see my husband and I loving it and also hoping to have grand kids there. What Use Year should I hope for? A sales person chatted and told me September, Oct, or November is best. Is it better to have smaller contracts like 100 or go for 200? If I really love Beach Club should I try for that despite the higher payments and dues? Or should I buy Saratoga and then hope for the best at 7 months that I can grab BLT, Poly, or Beach Club. I am sorry for all these questions. It is very overwhelming. However, is this the best time for a buyer?
DVC only works well for DVC. DVC is not the only system out there anti doesn't lock you out of other choices. March is the best UY for most if you'll travel March/April, Feb if you might start your time in Feb.
 
What price are you hoping to get? I’ll keep an eye out for your contract. I’m hoping to pay closer to $105/pt. Dream would be a loaded April contract.
I think $105 is realistic. Depending on the economy, I think one might be able to hope for $100, but we will see. That's why we passed on the extended OKW that we had put a bid on, they wanted more than we would pay for an AKL contract. I'll keep my eyes peeled for your use years ;) strength in numbers!
 
I must of read 1000 of pages on the Disboards about buying DVC. A lot of posts have shown me the light in going for resale and not direct. I can't even find Disney's direct listings- I have to talk directly with someone with all my information. I usually go to Disney in March or April (spring break- I am a teacher). I have only stayed (through rented points) at Beach Club (AND LOVED IT). We were supposed to go to Poly and BLT this March but obviously we are rescheduled for this 2021 break. I have a 13 and 15 year old so I always want studios that fit 5 people. Moving forward, I can see wanting one bedrooms (although AK, BLT, VGF, OKW, and Riveria are only ones that fit 5?). My husband and I are 41 and I am not sure if this is a good move. He keeps thinking there is "more than Disney" out there. However, I can see my husband and I loving it and also hoping to have grand kids there. What Use Year should I hope for? A sales person chatted and told me September, Oct, or November is best. Is it better to have smaller contracts like 100 or go for 200? If I really love Beach Club should I try for that despite the higher payments and dues? Or should I buy Saratoga and then hope for the best at 7 months that I can grab BLT, Poly, or Beach Club. I am sorry for all these questions. It is very overwhelming. However, is this the best time for a buyer?
My husband and I are 41 and I am not sure if this is a good move. He keeps thinking there is "more than Disney" out there. My husband and I went on a solo 2 night trip to Disney, it was amazing and he loved it. He can't wait for us to start taking more solo trips when our girls leave the house (they are still super young), so he thinks we should wait to buy until they are a bit older. We go to Disney every year, so I'm lost as to why he thinks we should wait. I did add up all our hotel expenditures for the last 5 years and he finally agreed that it might be the right decision.
However, I can see my husband and I loving it and also hoping to have grand kids there. What Use Year should I hope for? A sales person chatted and told me September, Oct, or November is best. Have you read up on banking deadlines? https://www.dvcresalemarket.com/blog/what-is-a-dvc-use-year-and-does-it-matter/ Forus we like to travel May & October, so we are looking at buying an April contract. If we have to cancel an October trip we have time to bank our points to the following year.
Is it better to have smaller contracts like 100 or go for 200? if you ever have to sell your contract it is easier to sell 2 - 100 point contract then a 200 point contract.
If I really love Beach Club should I try for that despite the higher payments and dues? Or should I buy Saratoga and then hope for the best at 7 months that I can grab BLT, Poly, or Beach Club. I am sorry for all these questions. It is very overwhelming. If you don't mind staying at Saratoga and want to save money I would buy there. I can't offer any other advice as we aren't owners yet, still waiting for the perfect AKL resale contract
However, is this the best time for a buyer? From the data the fall is the best time to purchase a resale contract. If you purchase a direct contract today with an October UY, they should give you the 2019 points and should bank them, then on Oct 1 you'll get your 2020 points.
Good luck with your decision!
 

It is amazing right now that you can rent a dedicated reservation standard studio for five night AKV for $603 total. Insane.
 
I think $105 is realistic. Depending on the economy, I think one might be able to hope for $100, but we will see. That's why we passed on the extended OKW that we had put a bid on, they wanted more than we would pay for an AKL contract. I'll keep my eyes peeled for your use years ;) strength in numbers!
How long do we have to wait to pay $100? I would like to be able to book our Oct 2021 trip by February.
 
How long do we have to wait to pay $100? I would like to be able to book our Oct 2021 trip by February.
Um your guess is as good as anyone’s! There’s not a chart that says “here’s how much prices will decline for each month of covid”. If I were you I’d start offering $100 now.
 
I’ve been reading this thread quietly for a long time now, because I know there are people here that are much more knowledgeable about all of this... and I’ve learned a lot!

An interesting point I haven’t seen brought up yet (that my sister and I have discussed frequently), is that this current situation seems to have some drastic differences from the Great Recession. During the GR, everyone was hit... hard. This round, although everyone has been hit similarly with quarantines, etc, not everyone has taken a financial hit. Some have very sadly lost everything, others have lost nothing, others still are doing better than ever... and each of them got a bonus from the government! Who’s to say how many DVC owners were hit hard enough to sell? & who wasn’t even affected? I do believe there will continue to be a trickle-down affect over the next few years to the stock markets, etc, but would that be enough for someone to sell their DVC if their job, life, & savings wasn’t otherwise hugely affected?

Just thought it was interesting & it keeps coming up in conversations outside of this board 😉
 
During the GR, everyone was hit... hard. This round, although everyone has been hit similarly with quarantines, etc, not everyone has taken a financial hit.

Not everyone was financially hit hard in 2008/09 either, but DVC did take a hit. It just took a while to show up. We haven't seen anything close to those drops. I bought SSR in late 2019, and contracts are equal or worse than then.
 
I think $105 is realistic. Depending on the economy, I think one might be able to hope for $100, but we will see. That's why we passed on the extended OKW that we had put a bid on, they wanted more than we would pay for an AKL contract. I'll keep my eyes peeled for your use years ;) strength in numbers!

I have come across a listing or two for under $100 not even what they sold for.

Can't remeber where because personally not really interested in AKV ever.
 
Not everyone was financially hit hard in 2008/09 either, but DVC did take a hit. It just took a while to show up.

A VGC resale purchase in 2009 (recently put on sale at the time) would make you look like a genius right now. We haven't seen anything close to those drops. I bought SSR in late 2019, and contracts are equal or worse than then.
My wife and I weren’t hit at all. We both were lucky to be in fields and have opportunities that allowed us both to actually increase our earnings. We weren’t looking for DVC then but got a great deal on our home.
 
My husband and I are 41 and I am not sure if this is a good move. He keeps thinking there is "more than Disney" out there. My husband and I went on a solo 2 night trip to Disney, it was amazing and he loved it. He can't wait for us to start taking more solo trips when our girls leave the house (they are still super young), so he thinks we should wait to buy until they are a bit older. We go to Disney every year, so I'm lost as to why he thinks we should wait. I did add up all our hotel expenditures for the last 5 years and he finally agreed that it might be the right decision.
However, I can see my husband and I loving it and also hoping to have grand kids there. What Use Year should I hope for? A sales person chatted and told me September, Oct, or November is best. Have you read up on banking deadlines? https://www.dvcresalemarket.com/blog/what-is-a-dvc-use-year-and-does-it-matter/ Forus we like to travel May & October, so we are looking at buying an April contract. If we have to cancel an October trip we have time to bank our points to the following year.
Is it better to have smaller contracts like 100 or go for 200? if you ever have to sell your contract it is easier to sell 2 - 100 point contract then a 200 point contract.
If I really love Beach Club should I try for that despite the higher payments and dues? Or should I buy Saratoga and then hope for the best at 7 months that I can grab BLT, Poly, or Beach Club. I am sorry for all these questions. It is very overwhelming. If you don't mind staying at Saratoga and want to save money I would buy there. I can't offer any other advice as we aren't owners yet, still waiting for the perfect AKL resale contract
However, is this the best time for a buyer? From the data the fall is the best time to purchase a resale contract. If you purchase a direct contract today with an October UY, they should give you the 2019 points and should bank them, then on Oct 1 you'll get your 2020 points.
Good luck with your decision!
Thank you so much!
 
I’ve been reading this thread quietly for a long time now, because I know there are people here that are much more knowledgeable about all of this... and I’ve learned a lot!

An interesting point I haven’t seen brought up yet (that my sister and I have discussed frequently), is that this current situation seems to have some drastic differences from the Great Recession. During the GR, everyone was hit... hard. This round, although everyone has been hit similarly with quarantines, etc, not everyone has taken a financial hit. Some have very sadly lost everything, others have lost nothing, others still are doing better than ever... and each of them got a bonus from the government! Who’s to say how many DVC owners were hit hard enough to sell? & who wasn’t even affected? I do believe there will continue to be a trickle-down affect over the next few years to the stock markets, etc, but would that be enough for someone to sell their DVC if their job, life, & savings wasn’t otherwise hugely affected?

Just thought it was interesting & it keeps coming up in conversations outside of this board 😉

I think the distinction is that not everyone has taken a financial hit yet. We are just starting to hear about companies who are laying off people. I think a lot of companies have tried to adjust to this "new normal" and it will take a while to see who was successful and who wasn't. For large corporations it is bad PR right now to layoff mass amounts of people unless they really need to. In my sector, we think we will see more layoffs starting next year. I hope not but it seems that everyone is waiting for the virus to go away and when it doesn't adjustments will be made.
 
Thank you all for helping me understand this better!
My wife and I weren’t hit at all. We both were lucky to be in fields and have opportunities that allowed us both to actually increase our earnings.
I think the distinction is that not everyone has taken a financial hit yet.
I knew as I was typing that I should not say all were hit... as absolutes are a rarity. 😉 However, I felt it may be more of a truth then since the whole upset started in the financial sector. I am very surprised that some, like Brianstl were able to do better! & I’m glad to hear it!

I agree it could very well be a “not yet” issue... but that gets even harder to parse out as we have an election coming up. I’m certainly not wanting to turn this political at all, but to simply add that some sectors are directly affected by who’s sitting in the White House... and if there is a change in hands, that will affect some areas that currently aren’t affected by the pandemic.

Not everyone was financially hit hard in 2008/09 either, but DVC did take a hit. It just took a while to show up. We haven't seen anything close to those drops. I bought SSR in late 2019, and contracts are equal or worse than then.
I read it was over a year before DVC prices really dropped... but what do you mean by “contracts are equal or worse than then?”
 
8/5 update

number of newly posted resale contracts at about 280% of average
 
Last edited:















New Posts





DIS Facebook DIS youtube DIS Instagram DIS Pinterest

Back
Top