crisi said:I think that frequently location is factored in. That is why so many retirees have flooded the American Southwest. Sun City used to be a pretty cheap place to live. So was Florida. And its still cheaper than New Jersey. But the advice is for "Joe Average." And if Joe actually exists, I've never met him. If Joe is the exact center of a circle of the whole population, some people have a reality close to Joe and some people are way out on some edge. And it isn't even linear.
As DMRick said earlier in the thread what you think you'll do and what you actually do may be different. My parent had planned to live in Utah by now. But then grandchildren arrived. I never hear my parent talk about living out of state any longer - and they have gone from wanting to move into a smaller home to trying to figure out how long they can stay in the home they have - because its on a lake and my kids love the lake. My sister recently had some health/personal problems - she lives out of state - and some of their savings disappeared in helping her. That was unforseen.
In an ideal world, people would plan for a number of possibilities. They would figure out what they'd like to do ideally, and how they'd scrape by on a minimum. They'd say "what happens if my spouse gets ill and we spend every penny within two years of retirement on health care?" They'd say "how much would I need if my taxes went up and gas was $9 a gallon?" "What happens if my kids need me to be their daycare provider?" "What happens if my husband leaves me when I'm 60, and my next husband really does enjoy travel, even though I'd be content at home?" Because as much as we have a better perspective of what we will need in retirement than anyone else, none of us has a crystal ball that says our own assumptions about our lives in retirement will come true. AND, they'd do all of this while maintaining balance and enjoyment in their pre-retirement life. However, in that ideal world, we'd probably all need to be on anxiety drugs to manage the possibilities, so its probably better to avoid that Utopia.
All very good points. My parents are similar to your parents. They have a second home in the Florida Keys, but when the first grandchild came along, their dream of living there 6 months a year seemed to be far less important. They're now contemplating selling it. Flexibility on these types of issues is obviously important...nobody's future is set in stone.
And I agree, I think that location is a frequently discussed topic when it comes to retirement. People have been retiring to Florida for years and years. That brings up yet another point. The cost of housing has skyrocketed here. Perhaps it's still cheaper than the very hot spots...Northern NJ, Boston, DC area, California, but for many in the middle of this country, many, many places in Florida have become too expensive to live.
Your point about a spouse getting ill and wiping out your estate brings up another point. It's really, really important to carry excellent insurance and cover your negatives so you don't get wiped out in a catastrophic health situation. This is one of the reasons that my parents are going to start out paying $600 or more a month for very good supplemental medicare coverage. And that number is likely to increase each year. And guess what, we talk a lot about healthcare costs and that monthly premium replacing a mortgage payment....and some just believe that will never happen. Well, that $600 is much more than my parents mortgage payment because they bought their home 40 years ago. The healthcare spending down the road is another reason we're opening up a health savings account...money goes in tax free and is withdrawn tax free for healthcare costs. That's too big an advantage for us to pass up.