TSMIII
Mouseketeer
- Joined
- Aug 28, 2007
- Messages
- 349
The following chart shows BLT declarations by UY through September 30, 2009. Currently, February remains the most prevalent UY, but that may change. dizfan mentioned to me that Disney may be switching BLT's default UY on new sales from February to March.
Based on my data, Disney has declared 3,103,655 points for BLT, and has sold 2,219,023 points through 9/30/2009. This leaves about 28.50% of the declared points still to be sold. I have been tracking BLT sales for a few months, and it appears that Disney makes a new declaration when its declared inventory drops below 25%. If I'm right, we should see a new declaration by the end of October. Of course, with BLT's price going up, I don't know whether BLT sales will continue at the same pace as before.
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See the following posting regarding the THV: http://www.disboards.com/showpost.php?p=34253025&postcount=10. SSR is averaging only a few hundred points/day in recorded deeds and AKV is averaging about 1,000 points/day. BLT is greatly exceeding those numbers, but things have slowed down this past month compared to sales this past summer. The last BLT Declaration was on 9/2/2009, and I keep thinking another Declaration will happen any day. Of course, I've been saying that for the past 2 weeks!
wdrl - I was also expecting a new BLT declaration at the end of October. As you said, you've been anticipating a declaration for 2 weeks.
Based on your earlier post where you referenced the 25% threshold you believe to be the trigger for a new declaration, how close are they currently to dropping below that (if they haven't already)?