What are the odds of corona still being an issue in July?

[mommy2allyandaveri]

We are going on RC and the Fantasy in July. I have absolutely no intention of canceling. Is it possible this will still be going on in July?

If so, and we are turned away for some reason, I assume trip insurance will cover us for cancellation or interruption or some combination.

Does anyone think it would be possible to get a last minute reservation at a deluxe resort for a week? I'm just trying to think about contingency plans.

To be clear, if we are sick, I would not want to expose anyone trying to board or go to the parks when we shouldn't.

 

[fredandkell]

There's no way of knowing. And personally I don't think being at Disney World is any better than a cruise ship if this is still going on.

I really doubt it will be this crazy in July, though. I think at that point it will have already swept the world and those who will get it, will have gotten it, and hopefully immunity will develop after one is healed. That is just conjecture on my part obviously.

 

[Gentry2004]

I personally think the virus will still be an issue in July. What the cruise ships are doing by then I have no clue.

 

[hecmd23]

We do have a sailing in August as well, but we will have to see how this all plays out in the next few months. We also do not plan on cancelling and just like you, I am actually looking at possibly just extending our resort stay (we will be spending a few days at CCV prior to the cruise).

It could be anyone’s guess at this time, my professional opinion (I work in healthcare), it will fizzle out along with influenza and other seasonal common cold viruses, but it may be back every year as part of the typical respiratory stuff we deal with every season.

 

[knewton64]

Imo, due to smart people making not smart travel / vacation plans , I feel this virus will be around and passed around until late spring next year ....
Now to what degree and frequency? That’s anyone guess ....

But ....
By then , atleast a vaccine will begin to come out-

imo, plan accordingly and please use common sense .

 

[squirk]

I don’t think any of us here are qualified to be oddsmakers in this regard.

Depending on where you get your news, there is a lot of stuff floating around about how long this will last.

There is an existing pneumonia treatment named remdezivir which may be helpful in treating people with COVID-19. Apparently, it’s the pneumonia complication that is the greatest danger with this virus.

There’s also a line of thought that, like the normal seasonal flu virus(es), COVID-19 can’t thrive or transmit nearly as easily in warm weather. So as we move into spring and summer, we may see transmission rates drop.

I have absolutely no expert knowledge or empirical evidence to back me up on this, but my 100% armchair hunch is that the virus will still be kicking around in July, but it will be much more contained and there will be some treatments. Deaths will drop off significantly, and as such, we won’t be in quite the panicked frenzy we have been these past few weeks.

 

[Pandy220]

We are going on RC and the Fantasy in July. I have absolutely no intention of canceling. Is it possible this will still be going on in July?

If so, and we are turned away for some reason, I assume trip insurance will cover us for cancellation or interruption or some combination.

Does anyone think it would be possible to get a last minute reservation at a deluxe resort for a week? I'm just trying to think about contingency plans.

To be clear, if we are sick, I would not want to expose anyone trying to board or go to the parks when we shouldn't.

It’ll take a year or more to develop a vaccine for it.

The US is not on top of testing, so though it seems like numbers in the US are low, it’s likely because people are not getting diagnosed. It will get much worse before it gets better. Even if the media slows with its reporting, the risk is still there.

 

[PrincessShmoo]

If so, and we are turned away for some reason, I assume trip insurance will cover us for cancellation or interruption or some combination.

Never assume. Have you read your policy? Do you understand all the exclusions? Does it say "cancel for any reason"? Are pandemics covered?

 

[tidefan]

There is an existing pneumonia treatment named remdezivir which may be helpful in treating people with COVID-19. Apparently, it’s the pneumonia complication that is the greatest danger with this virus.

The cool thing is that was in part developed here in Alabama...
https://www.al.com/news/2020/02/dru...-professor-treating-coronavirus-patients.html

It’ll take a year or more to develop a vaccine for it.

The US is not on top of testing, so though it seems like numbers in the US are low, it’s likely because people are not getting diagnosed. It will get much worse before it gets better. Even if the media slows with its reporting, the risk is still there.

What is a bit eerie about this is that I was looking to see if, say, Miami, had a flu season (answer: yes, they do), and came across this article from around New Year's. Sure seems to sound like a bit more than flu...

https://www.sun-sentinel.com/health...0200108-smylr2hx5zhc7fnewajgajidfa-story.html
Especially the 4th paragraph...

"About 80 percent of the cases we are seeing involve some type of respiratory illness,” said Paolo Coll, a family medicine doctor with Memorial Urgent Care Clinic in Pembroke Pines. While the flu symptoms tend to clear up in one to two weeks, the cough tends to linger, he said."

 

[Jocelynaus]

Winter in the Southern Hemisphere is June - August.

The media here in Australia was saying last week our peak for COVID-19 will be August (which is our ‘normal’ flu season peak.) Though people still have it here, now in late summer/Autumn due to travel.

so, yes I think it is likely to continue for months. we just keep hearing it will be worse before better.

 

[Husker Mike]

Never assume. Have you read your policy? Do you understand all the exclusions? Does it say "cancel for any reason"? Are pandemics covered?

I started to read my travel insurance policy and have been rather dismayed by how flimsy the coverage is. (And no, I didn't buy the cheapest policy...but all of the fine print that basically nullifys or conditions the coverage I thought I was buying seems like I got ripped off.)

Read your policy, but if you are denied boarding, your FIRST stop after leaving the port should be an urgent care. If you truly have symptoms (i.e. a fever), you'll need a doctors note saying that you are not well enough to go on a cruise. And you'll need it immediately for your records; not the next day.

 

[randumb0]

The cool thing is that was in part developed here in Alabama...
https://www.al.com/news/2020/02/dru...-professor-treating-coronavirus-patients.html

What is a bit eerie about this is that I was looking to see if, say, Miami, had a flu season (answer: yes, they do), and came across this article from around New Year's. Sure seems to sound like a bit more than flu...

https://www.sun-sentinel.com/health...0200108-smylr2hx5zhc7fnewajgajidfa-story.html
Especially the 4th paragraph...

"About 80 percent of the cases we are seeing involve some type of respiratory illness,” said Paolo Coll, a family medicine doctor with Memorial Urgent Care Clinic in Pembroke Pines. While the flu symptoms tend to clear up in one to two weeks, the cough tends to linger, he said."

well technically the flu is a respiratory illness so i wouldn't take much from that article

 

[ScooterScott44]

It could be anyone’s guess at this time, my professional opinion (I work in healthcare), it will fizzle out along with influenza and other seasonal common cold viruses, but it may be back every year as part of the typical respiratory stuff we deal with every season.

Just wondering what information you are basing your opinion. There doesn’t seem to be enough data to form a trend, especially since there is not nearly enough testing to confirm actual cases. Since the info so far indicates that the virus is more easily transmissible, R0 of 2.2 for Coronavirus vs 1.3 for flu, it is more likely to be spreading for a while. So how long becomes a good question and there is no indication yet if it will be a seasonal thing or not. Most Coronavirus tends to be seasonal but outbreaks can happen at anytime. Temperate and sub tropical Coronavirus patterns also showed slightly different seasonal patterns in studies. One study also showed that the MERS Coronavirus pattern had the highest cases in June. So any statement on if this will change in the summer months is pure speculation unless you have some details to share.

 

[ellbellthomps]

I think you'll be fine. The peak of this all will probably be in the next couple weeks, and calm from there. If for some reason it's still bad, you can always cancel.
I booked a refundable trip to Toyko Disney because of the price drop, and I am fully planning on going.

 

[kiford]

Definitely read your insurance policy through carefully. Pandemics are often not covered under trip insurance; this started to become common after SARS. Often under the same exclusion clauses as wars, insurrections, etc.

 

[MillauFr]

Definitely read your insurance policy through carefully. Pandemics are often not covered under trip insurance; this started to become common after SARS. Often under the same exclusion clauses as wars, insurrections, etc.

Yep just another example on insurance companies adding language to boost profits at the expense of their customers. Plenty of people who bought these policies thought they were protected.

 

[kiford]

Yep just another example on insurance companies adding language to boost profits at the expense of their customers. Plenty of people who bought these policies thought they were protected.

But they don't add this language after you've bought the policy - it's in there when you purchase it. Always read your policy to ensure it's the coverage you want. I know that they're sometimes difficult to read, but the very first place to look is in the exclusions.

 

[accio]

I booked a refundable trip to Toyko Disney because of the price drop, and I am fully planning on going.

AFAIK, my family is still planning to travel to Japan in mid-May. (Sadly, I am not going!) They too have scheduled a day at Tokyo Disneyland.

I would still go on your cruises in July, @mommy2allyandaveri.

 

[cruisehopeful]

A friend of mine from still gets regular news from the Netherlands and she said the government and CDC (it's called something else) advised the citizens that all the quarantines are just trying to slow the spread because it spreads so rapidly, there aren't enough rooms at hospitals to deal with all the sick people if it was left to spread as fast as it will without all the restrictions. They predicted that when summer hits, the virus won't survive as strongly in the heat and will be somewhat dormant like the flu virus. It won't go away. It will do what the flu does.

I tried to find similar articles here in the US and found stuff that supports that and also completely goes against that theory.

If so, and we are turned away for some reason, I assume trip insurance will cover us for cancellation or interruption or some combination.

Read your policy carefully. Mine says it won't cover epidemic. Mine will cover quarantine, but only up to $1,000. and I assume it won't even cover that if it's deemed an epidemic.

 

[smmco]

We are going on RC and the Fantasy in July. I have absolutely no intention of canceling. Is it possible this will still be going on in July?

If so, and we are turned away for some reason, I assume trip insurance will cover us for cancellation or interruption or some combination.

Does anyone think it would be possible to get a last minute reservation at a deluxe resort for a week? I'm just trying to think about contingency plans.

To be clear, if we are sick, I would not want to expose anyone trying to board or go to the parks when we shouldn't.

Is RC giving cruise credits if you cancel at the last minute? I think most of this will have blown over by then. By July we should have all been exposed anyway.