I'll give you:
10% chance you'll get all 4 nights with no waitlist - preferred view.
75% chance you'll be in all 4 nights if you waitlist day by day - preferred view
10% chance your waitlist will not come through for all nights (may not come through for any nights, but if you go day by day, I think you'd get at least some).
5% chance you hit a Boardwalk View or Standard View room - probably using the waitlit.