I think a few things:
1. It’s not just VGF that will plummet.. The less desirable resorts that always have availability will be repriced accordingly as well. (OKW, SSR, and to come extent AKV)… Why pay all that money when you can be at the flagship property at an attractive buy in?
2. The brokers on the resale market have been playing major games since at least January when ROFR stopped. I have found several of them to be arrogant, non responsive, and borderline demeaning when I present a rational and “right priced’ offer compared to the direct incentives. This isn’t directed at any one particular agency, but actually a few. The one exception has been a company I am not allowed to mention on this website, where they were courteous, polite, and in fact encouraged me not to overpay for a contract. We are approaching a time very soon where only suckers will buy resale. I’m sure that will change, but for the moment that is where we are. Additionally, it has me questioning whether I will want to deal with X or Y resale company in the future Based on those interactions.