I don’t think we should shut down. I’m not sure what the point is as long as there is adequate hospital/ supply capacity. Vulnerable people should shelter at home as needed and the rest of us should take the necessary precautions and get on with life.
FYI, hospitals are at capacity. I was in an emergency staff meeting this morning. We are a small community hospital an hour from the outskirts of Katy. We do not have an ICU. We have been taking Covid patients from Houston for a couple of weeks now. We have been asked to take ventilated patients, but can't due to lack of staff/resources (pre-Covid issues - we normally transfer patients TO Houston or Austin.) We had a patient this weekend in our ER that took almost 24 hours to get transferred because
there were no beds available for critical care in the region.
The state is currently NOT in control of what is happening. No, there aren't freezer trucks parked at the Med Center yet (not that I know of) but we are in no shape or form doing well. Lots of people wearing masks is not going to change the current trajectory enough to make a difference. Factor in the idiots that throw "It's my right to not wear a mask" dance parties in Pasadena, and really, all bets are off.
I don't want to see the economy shut down. I have 40 employees. I want them to have a stable paychecks and access to health insurance. I also have 3 kids in college and would really like to be able to pay for that. But until we get a strong grip on what's going on, this will NOT get better. We need to shutter indoor activities, prohibit large gatherings, AND SIMULTANEOUSLY get our $hit together regarding testing, contract tracing, and enforced quarantine of infected individuals. If we shut down, then just reopen without that second arm of defense, we'll be right back where we are in a few months again. If we magically had testing, contact tracing, and enforced quarantines right now, I'm not sure it would make a difference. Texas has something like 2,500 contact tracers - trying to trace all potential significant contacts (and then find them and get them tested) for 9-10,000 new cases
every day. That is humanly impossible. They will never catch up.
ETA - just saw the "we have overflow ICU beds" post. They may well have them, but they weren't taking patients from my hospital.