Sure they would have. Jeremy, Tasha, Kimmi, and Fishback were a solid 4, and Fishback had 2 votes. That makes 5 votes for Joe with only 4 other votes in play.
IMO Fishback made his big mistake when he took out Wigglesworth. They left the 3 "outcast"'girls in the game too long.
And I think Spencer may have joined the wrong group. He was #5 in the group of Jeremy, Fishback, Kimmi, and Tasha. He was right about that. But, #5 usually becomes #3 as the split vote. If he goes to finals with Kimmi & Tasha (assuming a final 2), he has a real shot at winning it all.