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- Jul 3, 2014
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I checked the last three days for Slinky. The posted waits near the end of the day were 25, 40 & 18 which puts that 18 minute wait in the rain not too much of an outlier. All are much shorter and less stressful than any early morning wait.
I said in my post the last hour TP wait times over the last week still make your point about better wait time conditions closer to park closing relative to rope drop.
I just prefer more data when looking at wait times vs single moments in time or a few days. Like whole weeks/months/seasons to isolate variables such as weather, events, holidays, days of the week, etc. I suspect we can both pick data points here or there to prove or disprove a concept on any given day at WDW.
Just for kicks, looking at the 26 operating days of Feb so far, DHS has closed at 8pm every day this month, so that variable is isolated. The average wait time at 7:02pm has been 63.5 mins (35-95 range), 7:29pm has been 55.0 mins (20-90 range), 7:58pm has been 39.2 mins (18-65 range). Let’s toss out Fri-Mon of President’s Day weekend and Friday 2/8 which has unusually high data as outliers, the numbers go down to 58.3 / 51.2 / 35.9.
That’s if we even want to believe TP observed wait time data to begin with (I did use actual wait time submission in the above calculations where available if close to any 3 time points) or if it is inflated. I honestly don’t know their methodology enough to know how relative to actual conditions that data point typically is in their data.
Still, worth a serious strategy consideration for some touring styles, as you frequently like to note.
BTW, since I’m sitting here looking at average data - perhaps not surprisingly, Tue-Thur end of park wait times are materially better than Fri-Mon. Picking the 7:28pm data point, Tue-Thur 46.4 avg wait vs Fri-Mon 60.6 avg wait. Getting in line at park closing on any Tuesday in Feb seems the way to go.
Of course, other times of the year or different date ranges can debunk any average trend noted above.

CMs were yelling at him to stop running when it happened