ROFR Thread January to March 2019 *PLEASE SEE FIRST POST FOR INSTRUCTIONS & FORMATTING TOOL*

[bebec22]

Day 34 here. This has to be the week, right???

 

[RamblinWreck]

Day 32

Day 34

It's clear that Disney is trying to cause mental breakdowns in resale purchasers, in a bid to weaken our resolve and encourage direct buying.

A few times, it's almost worked. Then I looked at the prices on buying points direct, and my sanity and patience were instantly restored.

 

[mrsap]

Day 34

It's clear that Disney is trying to cause mental breakdowns in resale purchasers, in a bid to weaken our resolve and encourage direct buying.

A few times, it's almost worked. Then I looked at the prices on buying points direct, and my sanity and patience were instantly restored.

LOL! Sorry you have to wait so long. I assume it’s taken, just let me know already so I can move on!!!

 

[RamblinWreck]

Day 34 here. This has to be the week, right???

If it's not this week, that'd be nuts.

Have we had anybody make it past day 40 without hearing anything before?

 

[DvcMomof2]

anyone seen a BCV contract pass ROFR lately? Turning toward wanting to buy one over the next couple of months, but finding reports that nearly 70% are being taken (dvcresalemarket Dec 2018 ROFR report) and the direct purchase waitlist is closed. Meaning it's nearly impossible to buy, via any method (?!)

Ours passed early March after having one taken at 40 days. We just closed on it last week. Went really fast. Price was a little high but factoring in 2019 points it was similar total cost as the one they took so go figure. ‍ Didn’t realize direct waitlist is closed. Guess that’s because Riviera sales opened...

DvcMomof2---$142-$22949-150-BCV-Feb-0/18, 150/19, 150/20- sent 2/28, passed 3/12

Happy to hear that so many of you passed recently and sorry for those of you who had your contracts taken.

The Mouse took our second attempt at BCV on Friday after 32 days in ROFR. I knew there was a high probability of that...it was a loaded contract at a great price. I just wish they didn't keep all of us waiting so long only to find out they took our contracts.

amytaylor6---$133-$34518-240-BCV-Sept-0/17, 0/18, 480/19, 240/20- sent 2/25, taken 3/29

We sent another offer in over the weekend. Hopefully I'll be posting tomorrow in our shiny new thread after talking with the listing agent. Maybe our third try will be a charm!

Thanks to all of you in this forum for your support and encouragement!!

Sorry to hear they took that one. That was a great price!!!
Good luck on the next one! Some are getting through!

 

[vanjust14]

Happy to hear that so many of you passed recently and sorry for those of you who had your contracts taken.

The Mouse took our second attempt at BCV on Friday after 32 days in ROFR. I knew there was a high probability of that...it was a loaded contract at a great price. I just wish they didn't keep all of us waiting so long only to find out they took our contracts.

amytaylor6---$133-$34518-240-BCV-Sept-0/17, 0/18, 480/19, 240/20- sent 2/25, taken 3/29

We sent another offer in over the weekend. Hopefully I'll be posting tomorrow in our shiny new thread after talking with the listing agent. Maybe our third try will be a charm!

Thanks to all of you in this forum for your support and encouragement!!

Sorry it was taken. Good luck with the next one! I can't believe it's time for a new thread already!

 

[Iestyn5150]

Day 35! I’ve no fingernails left!

 

[ScubaCat]

amytaylor6---$133-$34518-240-BCV-Sept-0/17, 0/18, 480/19, 240/20- sent 2/25, taken 3/29

We sent another offer in over the weekend. Hopefully I'll be posting tomorrow in our shiny new thread after talking with the listing agent. Maybe our third try will be a charm!

Booooo.. Good luck with take 3! Maybe you can celebrate that one passing with us poolside this September

We'll see about the new thread today. Our leader owns enough points to spend 11.85 months a year at Disney, so it'll depend on her schedule.

DvcMomof2---$142-$22949-150-BCV-Feb-0/18, 150/19, 150/20- sent 2/28, passed 3/12

Congrats! Woohoo.

 

[bebec22]

If it's not this week, that'd be nuts.

Have we had anybody make it past day 40 without hearing anything before?

I've seen a few long waits here and there.

I'm hoping that because they just took @Dracula's 500 point BLT contract, when they get to mine they'll realize they don't need anymore BLT points! (Sorry Dracula)

 

[hoppedupondisney]

Day 35! I’ve no fingernails left!

Hopefully good news soon! I’m on day 6 and have no fingernails left...if I get to day 35 my fingers might be gone!

 

[Aron1012]

Did anyone else happen to notice the two Aulani contracts on DVC resale? Both guaranteed week 52, one for 2-bed and other GV. For only $238k they can both be yours

 

[RamblinWreck]

So in case anyone is wondering how your odds look once you reach that 30+ day wait point... I grabbed some data from page 1 and did a quick analysis.

I only grabbed a few of the higher volume resorts (AKV, BLT, BWV, SSR) for this.

For those resorts, Disney took more than 30 days to make a decision 34 times.

25 of those contracts were taken. Only 9 passed.

So once you hit day 30, you're barely above a 25% pass rate. The odds are stacked against you, but it could be worse!

The most common day to pass in this range was Day 34. The most common day to be taken was day 36 (and one outlier taken on day 45! ouch).

 

[RamblinWreck]

So in case anyone is wondering how your odds look once you reach that 30+ day wait point... I grabbed some data from page 1 and did a quick analysis.

I only grabbed a few of the higher volume resorts (AKV, BLT, BWV, SSR) for this.

For those resorts, Disney took more than 30 days to make a decision 34 times.

25 of those contracts were taken. Only 9 passed.

So once you hit day 30, you're barely above a 25% pass rate. The odds are stacked against you, but it could be worse!

The most common day to pass in this range was Day 34. The most common day to be taken was day 36 (and one outlier taken on day 45! ouch).

Just to add another note that was somewhat interesting.

The most common day to pass, BY FAR, was day 27. Day 27 saw 15 passes, Day 28 saw 8, and Day 29 saw 6. No other day had more than 5 (Day 8 and 9 had 5 passes each).

So when you find yourself biting your fingernails while waiting, just remember to bite them extra hard between Days 27-29! That's when about 36% of the passes take place. And as we saw in the previous post, your odds dip dramatically once Day 30 comes and goes.

 

[Donald Ace]

Donald Ace---$110-$30127-250-AKV-Jun-0/18, 290/19, 250/20-40 18uy Pts Banked- sent 3/30

 

[disneymagicRN]

Still waiting to hear that our 2nd try contract for SSR went to Disney...we signed last Tuesday....tick tock tick tock. Hoping for better luck this time.

 

[heynowirv]

Did anyone else happen to notice the two Aulani contracts on DVC resale? Both guaranteed week 52, one for 2-bed and other GV. For only $238k they can both be yours

You found them first, they are yours

 

[RamblinWreck]

Alright, I’m officially on the hook for a second one.

My wife is going to be irritated with me if by some miracle they both pass...

RamblinWreck---$170-$9095-50-VGF-Apr-0/18, 100/19, 50/20, 50/21- sent 4/1

 

[Disney Doc07]

First resale contract, adding on to a direct membership, day 26.....

Disney Doc07---$105-$11119-100-AKV-Dec-0/17, 99/18, 30/19, 100/20- sent 3/6

 

[princessbride6205]

Alright, I’m officially on the hook for a second one.

My wife is going to be irritated with me if by some miracle they both pass...

RamblinWreck---$170-$9095-50-VGF-Apr-0/18, 100/19, 50/20, 50/21- sent 4/1

Nice second contract! Are we crossing our fingers for you that you get both or not?

I'm on day 34...

 

[RamblinWreck]

Nice second contract! Are we crossing our fingers for you that you get both or not?

I'm on day 34...

Sure, why not!

The first one was so cheap that if it somehow passes, I think I could get myself out of the doghouse by immediately flipping it for a small profit if necessary.