Rita - this is depressing

[brerrabbit]

Latest track I have seen along with comments from a local weatherman named Neil Frank (ex head of the National Hurricane Center) they are predicting landfall at Matagorda Bay. That is about 85 miles southwest along the coast from Galveston. Galveston, Galveston Bay and the south side of Houston would get the worst or dirty side of the storm. I live about 30 miles as the crow flies from the coast in Brazoria County. I am 37 feet above sea level and have areas that flood with heavy rains all around me. The good news is that when tropical storm Allison hit several years ago and we had massive flooding we did not flood, so we are hoping for the best. The other thing they said was they predicted it to be a category 3 storm by the time it made landfall. It is terrible to wish a storm on anyone and even then the storm is gonna do what its gonna do. But having said that if it comes this way the best scenario would have it going a little farther down the coast and cominig ashore east of Corpus Christi. On that path it would cause the least amount of damage due to the fact that there isn't as much down there. The best scenario (other than just going away) would be for it to not turn north at all and head to the lower coast where there is the least amount of people and property.

 

[brerrabbit]

As far as refineries go we have Deer Park which is up the ship channel from Galveston Bay and it would be impacted. Additionally there are several others down the coast around Corpus Christi. Anywhere this thing comes in will effect refineries in some way. Additionally because of its path virtually every rig in the Gulf is being evacuated. That alone will have severe price impacts as we saw yesterday when crude closed up $4.39 a barrel. We are currently cycling through the market opening this morning and out of the chute crude is down .76 cents so at least thats good news, although it probably won't stay there as the reduction is probably just traders taking profit out of the market after yesterdays run up. Natural gas is trading $12.30 which is off .34 cents from yesterdays close.

 

[TXTink]

Latest track I have seen along with comments from a local weatherman named Neil Frank (ex head of the National Hurricane Center) they are predicting landfall at Matagorda Bay. That is about 85 miles southwest along the coast from Galveston. Galveston, Galveston Bay and the south side of Houston would get the worst or dirty side of the storm. I live about 30 miles as the crow flies from the coast in Brazoria County. I am 37 feet above sea level and have areas that flood with heavy rains all around me. The good news is that when tropical storm Allison hit several years ago and we had massive flooding we did not flood, so we are hoping for the best. The other thing they said was they predicted it to be a category 3 storm by the time it made landfall. It is terrible to wish a storm on anyone and even then the storm is gonna do what its gonna do. But having said that if it comes this way the best scenario would have it going a little farther down the coast and cominig ashore east of Corpus Christi. On that path it would cause the least amount of damage due to the fact that there isn't as much down there. The best scenario (other than just going away) would be for it to not turn north at all and head to the lower coast where there is the least amount of people and property.

We are neighbors of yours here in Friendswood. While some of Friendswood had some pretty bad flooding in Allison, the houses in our subdivision didn't get water. We couldn't get in or out because of the street flooding though. Needless to say, we are keeping an eye on this storm too! If it comes in here (or just south of here) as a cat. 3 we will leave for sure.

 

[Planogirl]

There's slews of refineries in Texas City too. Of course, closing the offshore wells will be bad enough.

 

[brerrabbit]

Lot of plants in Texas City but only a couple refineries, and one of those is BP Amoco that has not been at full capacity for some time since they had the explosion there.

 

[Planogirl]

There's Valero and Marathon too but I guess that's not slews.

 

[Lisa loves Pooh]

Looks like the brat in 6 hours upgraded from a Tropical storm to a 100mph (cat 2?) hurricane.

And now she's forecasted as a 4 for Texas.

Unbelievable.

 

[sodaseller]

Looks like the brat in 6 hours upgraded from a Tropical storm to a 100mph (cat 2?) hurricane.

And now she's forecasted as a 4 for Texas.

Unbelievable.

That's terrible

 

[chadfromdallas]

Anyone able to take a decent guess as to what it may be if it continues toward Denton/Dallas/Ft. Worth and hits? (roughly 330 miles off the coast)

 

[Planogirl]

Wouldn't it be kind of like Katrina when it hit Jackson? Of course, it all depends on the size and strength when it hits land plus how fast it moves north but you can reasonably expect heavy rain, gusty wind and possibly, tornadoes.

 

[bsnyder]

Anyone able to take a decent guess as to what it may be if it continues toward Denton/Dallas/Ft. Worth and hits? (roughly 330 miles off the coast)

Chad, as the storm gets closer to landfall, check this site:

www.skeetobiteweather.com

They'll have maps with the wind radius inland from the point of landfall.

 

[chadfromdallas]

Wouldn't it be kind of like Katrina when it hit Jackson? Of course, it all depends on the size and strength when it hits land plus how fast it moves north but you can reasonably expect heavy rain, gusty wind and possibly, tornadoes.

I see a hurricane party with many margaritas in my friends' future

Hmmm, the glass is half full.....the glass is half full...

1. tornadoes(x3)
2. Earthquake
3. (and soon to be) hurricane

My natural disaster list is growing.

 

[Lisa loves Pooh]

Anyone able to take a decent guess as to what it may be if it continues toward Denton/Dallas/Ft. Worth and hits? (roughly 330 miles off the coast)

When it was predicted to hit as a 3...the guess was that it would be a Tropical storm.

Not sure how far the tennessee/missippi border is from the gulf...but northern mississippi got hit with at least a Cat 1 (not sure when it changed to a TS).

So if she gets big and ugly like Katrina.....nothing is impossible.

Even if she's a tropical storm--it is defnitely bunker down and stay put weather..until winds die down.

 

[chadfromdallas]

Chad, as the storm gets closer to landfall, check this site:

www.skeetobiteweather.com

They'll have maps with the wind radius inland from the point of landfall.

Interesting, thank you.

 

[Lisa loves Pooh]

I see a hurricane party with many margaritas in my friends' future

Hmmm, the glass is half full.....the glass is half full...

1. tornadoes(x3)
2. Earthquake
3. (and soon to be) hurricane

My natural disaster list is growing.

Dallas had an earthquake?

 

[chadfromdallas]

Dallas had an earthquake?

I was in California

 

[Lisa loves Pooh]

I was in California

Well that doesn't count! .


Now all you need is a volcanic eruption...and you'll be all set for the year.

 

[chadfromdallas]

Now all you need is a volcanic eruption...and you'll be all set for the year.

Hawaii hiking vacation sometime 07 or 08

 

[Planogirl]

Chad, did you ever have any of the wildfires and mudslides close to you when you lived in California? That stuff terrifies me.

 

[chadfromdallas]

Chad, did you ever have any of the wildfires and mudslides close to you when you lived in California? That stuff terrifies me.

Nope, just a quake when I was visiting, never lived there I use to go to Disneyland, Universal, Redwood Forest, and a few other places there almost every summer I wasn't at Disney World though, so I just about did