I have talked to Rachel again, and have decided to pursue this contract a little bit further. I'll share details after the seller answers, but we decided to be aggressive (B-E-A-G-G-R-E-S-S-I-V-E, be aggressive, be-e aggressive! Anyone remember that football cheer?). Like many of you pointed out, we kind of have the sellers over a barrel (of their own making).
If they refuse our offer, we'll walk away.
Some of the points you all have made that stick with me:
1. Yes, we had a really good deal on this contract to start with, and even with the reduced points it is still one of the best deals I've seen. Is it enough to make us want to go ahead with this particular seller?
2. While we don't plan to use our points anywhere except Disney, the 3/20 changes concern me for the reason stated by Buckeye Fan -- will Disney continue to distinguish between "befores" and "afters" and make more changes that affect the after-3/20 resales? I know, I know, "what if's" drive me crazy!
3. If we go forward with a change to the agreement, I will ask for assurance in writing from DVC that we maintain our pre-3/20 status (good idea, lilpooh108!).
4. As palaemon said, 3/20 is what makes the timing of the situation problematic -- otherwise, we'd just be deciding the issue based on dollars and cents.
5. If I were Fidelity (Hi, Rachel!) I'd have a policy to order a point report before submitting for ROFR. It's more work, but since it seem this has happened before, it would certainly offer buyers another level of confidence.
I am not blaming Fidelity, in that I do not think they knew the seller had done this, but they have access to this information (I, as the buyer, do not) and even if there is a cost involved in getting a report it should be part of their due diligence.
Here's another thing I'm worrying over: this is actually a contract for my parents. We are helping them pay for it as part of their 50th wedding anniversary, but they are paying for most of it. Eventually, they want to have it to leave to my brother and me (and our sister, but she's disabled so DB and I will be caring for her), but their dream is to go to VWL a couple of times a year for as long as they can. So if it were just me, I might make different decisions, but it's my parents' money (and dream) we're talking about here. That makes me both more cautious and more diligent.
So,
THANK YOU to everyone here. I'll keep you all updated, but the suggestions and comments have been crazy helpful!