prices up or down ?

[janischa]

do you think BLT prices (direct or resale) will go up or down in the coming months ?

reasons why they may go down:
* Disney seems bent on selling out, to potentially start news on the GFV
* Lower resale prices because of continued economic crisis, may effect the demand for direct sales as well

reasons why prices may go up:
* Resale prices dropped already on the news of new restrictions of resale contracts; over time people will forget about this advantage
* Once the resort is sold out, people will only be able to buy via the resales, limiting supply

I'm now signed in to the webcast for non-members and will be having it on 1 June, very curious if the incentives will be better or worse than presented to me last week in disney.

 

[WilsonFlyer]

Disney has already announced that the price of BLT direct will go up $10/point ($140?) next month.

 

[sweetdana]

I think there is zero chance price will go down direct.
Either stay the same or move up another 10$ for direct.


I do not think once it sells out, resale will drop. Maybe a few $ on the short term, but I think it will be a hot product, like Calif resort and may have a wait list shortly after selling out, bringing resale costs up too. I think being on the monorail is a huge factor for people. I do not thing the GF is the same, the decor is very victorian, I assume the price per night will be higher and the average Joe I assume will prefer BLT over GF. * This may be 6 months or a yr out, but once sold out and then someone wants it.. $$ will do the talking.


*1 Catch would be once Poly opens I think it will be the new hot product. I think BLT will lose its pizzaze, but until then I think if you want it.. buy it now, it will not go down. This is a # of yrs out.

 

[Kidanifan08]

Now may be the time to try to get BLT for a bargain on resale, since DVC does not seem to be buying back contracts with ROFR. There was one resale posted on these boards which passed at $88/pt for BLT post-3/20. One may be able to low-ball a contract now and get through. Once BLT is sold out, it will be interesting to see if DVC starts exercising ROFR on resales after that to meet the needs of people waitlisting for BLT. Of course, they still have inventory at AKV to work on moving, so once BLT sells out, they may just move on to pushing AKV until the GFV or whatever else is coming starts to sell.

As PP's have said, the price for direct sales is not going to go down any time soon. If you want to buy direct, buy now, while the incentives are good and they still have inventory.

 

[gkrykewy]

Of course it will go down. Resale prices for the "main resort" (most heavily promoted) always go down after a couple years, like clockwork, simply because there are so many people who will want out after their honeymoon period is over (realized they can't afford payments, realized they don't want to afford payments, divorces, job losses, simple change of heart, etc). A high volume of sales during the peak sales timeframe invariably leads to a high volume of resales 2-3 years later.

 

[jarestel]

Over time, direct prices go up, resale prices go down. It's the nature of the beast. You don't see many fire sales from Disney, but individual owners have them all of the time.

 

[Anthony1971]

Another vote for down... It has happened at every other resort
simple supply and demand and likely supply will get higher as time goes on for numerous reasons... Might I also add there was another much larger resort which the original part sold faster than BLT has

 

[JimMIA]

Direct prices for BLT will go up because DVD can get higher prices. If they do an additional monorail resort as it appears they will, that resort will be priced above the BLT direct price.

Resale prices will continue to go down, and the recent changes in perks for resale buyers have little to do with it.

Resale prices will go down because there is more supply than demand and no bar to the prices dropping since Disney stopped ROFRing more than a year ago. As long as Disney doesn't ROFR, resale prices will continue to drop until a true supply/demand equilibrium point is reached...which I think is somewhat lower than current resale prices.

I personally think Disney is essentially done with ROFR and that equilibrium point will be found sooner rather than later. Those who think there will be a long, slow slide in correlation with the remaining years on the contracts are mistaken, IMHO.