We'll be there right when Pop Warner hits. Plus, with the lack of hotel availability, yesterday booked Music (was originally hoping for Movies, Pop, Swan/Dolphin). So with F&W, 50th, Pop Warner, being at Music with all of those NJ families (Sports closed until Dec), I'm sure we'll see some crowds. Do feel that our week 11/6-11/12 will be less crowded than Thanksgiving wknd. My opinion. Been there during both times.
I don't know how often I've booked WDW property without some sort of discount, but the way this is playing out with the refurb, delayed openings/availability of resorts, there may not be discounts for our stay. Why would they, when the hotels are booking up for near the 50th. Before yesterday, there were only 3 resorts available for us, AK for around $469, BW and another resort for over $1k/night (+ also Swadolphin). Yesterday AK was under $300, and we felt lucky to grab Music for $161, even though we didn't intend to be there. Later also booked Music on Orbitz for $140 using the one time mobile app code.