This is a risky balance though - part of the appeal of DVC is "luxury accommodation at moderate prices". In this secnario, what they are selling is "moderate accommodation at moderate prices". A dangerous choice: Even in year scenario of 100 point contracts, are people going to spend $17,000+ to buy in to a moderate accommodation? It's the exact OPPOSITE of what DVC has been doing the last 5-6 years.
The definition of luxury in this case is twofold in my opinion-- one, larger rooms with better amenities, and two, location and access to parks. What would stop a new CBR resort from having at least one of them? If they build new buildings and create access to Epcot and HS, In my opinion the new location will be a notch above SSR and OKW.....(maybe just one click) Who needs a on site restaurant when you have connection to epcot and boardwalk-- For this reason I am also very interested to see what happens with the plot outside BCV where they just appliet for change of use to buildable ground--
I agree (again) - the savings of 10 points versus 14 points a night - people that are already bought in won't want to downgrade. Will the owners at CBR be willing to upgrade?
Think of all the people who bought the minimum points for any location in hopes to stay in the lowest point studios available.. the GF syndrome ...
Now give them an entire location with better access than SSR and OKW and a similar point cost--- I think very many would be glad to "downgrade"
Lowering the price is the only option - lowering the quality is dangerous. They are unlikely to do either.
Actually I hope they don't do either.....
I think you give Disney too much credit. I still think what we will see is that they will use the infrastructure of CBR but build a separate resort of higher quality. As I said - picture an SSR level resort. Having direct access to epcot would be a big sell point.