Most accurate source for crowd predictors?

Ericalee

Earning My Ears
Joined
Jun 4, 2016
Messages
27
Which source have you found to be most accurate or what is general consensus on best predictor? I'm on touring plans and comparing against wdw prep, the recommended parks are completely opposite!
 
In 2012 I used a crowd calendar for planning. Everything was still crowded.
In 2014 I tried a different one. Everything was still crowded.
In 2015 I worked there. Every day, everything was crowded.

The thing to keep in mind is that each provider is using anecdotal, crowd-sourced evidence to make their predictions (because Disney does not release actual metrics or results to anyone.) When you look at all of them side by side, each one gives you information that is sometimes very different. That variance is a good indicator that everyone is really just guessing, and no matter which one you pick, the predictions may match your actual experience, or they may not.
As time goes on, the difference between "slow" and "busy" days is much less noticeable.
If you're going to use any of them, make sure you're using a free one, and don't expect it to be exact.

Personally, I plan my park days around the reservations I want (FP+ and ADR) and am actually able to get. Anything else is really just guessing.
 
Go at rope drop and you'll be able to do some of the big rides with little wait, then FP+ those you really want, then do the low-key and easy access ones. It is all about prioritization for your family, there is no right answer.
 

I am really curious how anyone can predict this summer. With AK evening, HS star wars fireworks, EP frozen ride, I'm curious if what effects this has. Particulary AK. With 11pm closings??? Later than MK and EP. Crazy
 
I look at 3-4 different crowd calendars when selecting when to schedule our trip. After that, I work primarily around EMH to decide which parks morning and afternoon.

I don't find any of them useful to decide which day to be in which park.

If I had to pick only one to choose when to travel, I would go with TP hands down: https://touringplans.com/walt-disney-world/crowd-calendar
 
I am really curious how anyone can predict this summer. With AK evening, HS star wars fireworks, EP frozen ride, I'm curious if what effects this has. Particulary AK. With 11pm closings??? Later than MK and EP. Crazy
THIS!!! They are guessing -- they have to be. More or less "educated guessing", but guessing nonetheless. :thumbsup2
 












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