May visitors- check out this crowd blog

[NewEnglandDisney]

Seeing some of the dates and the numbers for them(I.E memorial day being so low), I would take this survery with a grain of salt. Like the political polls, I am sure it has a + or - of several percentage points...smj

Totally agreed.

I have a hard time believing the second week of May is going to have holiday-level crowds.

If it does, I'll deal with it - but I just don't see it.

N.E.D., who will be the first one to admit I am wrong if it does happen

 

[lentesta]

Thanks everyone. The goal is an accurate prediction. The journey, so far, is interesting.

DisneyBaby2004, a good point. I'll restrict the numbers to people who've actually put specific plans on specific days, on the assumption that the people with more definite plans are more serious about going. How's that sound?

Len

 

[Pedler]

... we know the peak wait times for headliner attractions in the Magic Kingdom on March 29, 2005 were these:

Big Thunder Mountain Railroad: 90 minutes
Splash Mountain: 105 minutes
Space Mountain: 120 minutes

This translates to a "9" on the Unofficial Guide's crowd level scale.

Hi Len,

Do you have data on what the peak wait times for these rides are at other crowd levels, say a 4 or 5 for example.

Thanks.

 

[WaltD4Me]

Ok, I am so sorry, but I'm totally confused now.

If, say May 10th is projected as an 8 crowd wise, it may really be a five? Am I supposed to be looking at something else to also factor in, other than just the crowd prediction chart?

And I'd be interested to hear what wait times are also for other crowd predictions like 5, 6 and 7, ect...

 

[debbiedoo]

we went to wdw on year ON memorial day and it was so nice and quiet...maybe it will happen this year too!

I hope that your right!! I heard that from a couple other people too---only time will tell!!!!

 

[debbiedoo]

Here is a poll I started -

http://www.disboards.com/showthread.php?t=793316

sorry----can not vote--my week is not listed!!

 

[familyfun]

We were at Disney over Memorial Day Weekend two years ago. There were tons of people - yet the lines were not all that long. We waited 10-15 min. for most rides, the longest being Splash Mountian @ 25 min. We did not ride the big thrill rides as our kids were younger. I am surprised to see predictions of 5-6. I've heard the rumor that most WDW resorts are near capacity for the weekend, plus the fact that there aren't any discounts to help fill empy rooms leads me to believe that it will be crowded. I'll be sticking to my touring plan!!

 

[marriedmarylander]

From 3 to 7 and 8!!!!!!!!!!




AUGGHHHHHHH

This wasn't on the touringplans.com crowd level calendar updates just posted a few days ago.

 

[Stitch Inside]

While you're at it, why don't you go ahead and tell us it's going to rain the whole time we're there?
Anyone else for a UG book burning? Just kidding.

 

[cherylp3]

Epcot today

at 12:45 ( approx ) Test Track - Single rider 40 Min -Normal line 55 min Fats Pass 6:10pm and 7pm

at some time between 2:00 and 2:15
Maelstrom in Norway- time displayed was 15 minutes

 

[markh]

cherylp3, were you in any of the other parks?

 

[crazyj4488]

Okay, Test Track is a horrible crowd indicator in my book. It is always an hour wait given the awfully slow loading time and everything else under the sun that makes that ride a super bottleneck. I'd say an hour wait is completely normal to light....90 minutes is pushing it a bit though.

 

[Stiff]

They used the number of families who registered their dates on the UG database. I don't know if that is an accurate way to predict crowds. People on their site are more likely to be hardcore Disney fans and know to travel when crowds are expected to be lighter. For a time like Memorial Day, more local people may travel to WDW and they may not be a group that would register their dates on the unofficial guide site.

I completely agree with this statement

 

[Swtness81100]

The new chart FREAKED me out. I really just wanna have fun.

 

[Ames]

7 & 8's for me! I wasn't expecting that high of a jump. Oh well its still Disney!!!!

 

[Stitch Inside]

I'm not buying it. Holidays and summer days are busy for a reason. Kids all over the country are out of school. You can't sit there and tell me it is going to be just as busy from now through May as it was at Easter. But, maybe the UG is trying to influence attendence. Maybe they're thinking that by saying it's going to be so crowded, people will stay away. On second thought, thanks Len for posting such accurate numbers.

 

[PratersloveDW]

WOW...looks like it is going to be very crowded when we are there! Oh well, the more the...err...ok, maybe not! But I am sure we'll all still have a magical time - regardless of crowds!

 

[princess aurora]

One thing I'm not clear on is WHY? Why are the crowds increasing and so drastically? Is the economy better, is it more economical to go to Disney for a family? Are there discounts for the upcoming weeks? Similar to Christmas crowds...you've got to be kidding me? Perhaps just a fluke, tons go at Easter and is this a result of ALL those people who waited until after this busy time to book but actually contribute to making it busier??????

I just don't get it

 

[liveforthemagic]

I am so sad. I am taking my kids out of school a week and a half early to benefit from the Level 3 crowds--daring to incur the wrath of the principal--and now we are at 7's and 8's.

I just don't understand how there can be this many people going at this time!

Maybe we need to wait and see how people's visits are this week--since they are also listed as 7's and 8's....

Need a little pixie dust here!

 

[dcibrando]

I don't feel like this is accurate at all... sure I'm expecting it to be more crowded because of the celebration, but those that were planning on going to Disney this year aren't necessarily going to change their reservations to May for the Celebration when it lasts all year long!

Those with kids will still be mostly going after the first of June which will be more crowded I'm sure.

If the week of May I am going was averaged at a 3 before, I might could expect a 5 depending on which parks I hit on what days. (I'm NOT going to EMH parks on those days to avoid crowds)