Salokin
Mouseketeer
- Joined
- Jul 6, 2018
- Messages
- 218
The problem with giving anyone 2024 points when only cash bookings for the corresponding units are available until, say, Jan 1, 2025, is the influx of points into the system and the imbalance it creates.Since the resort is opening in 2024, even if it ends up just for cash, , DVD could decide to give some UYs 2024 points, if they want.
I don’t see them holding off points bookings for too far into 2025, assuming they do at all, so if the start is with 2025 points, pretty much every UY would be borrowing, and the MB program wouldn’t be much of an incentive.
But, they definitely can put the date of declaring into 2025 for first points booking, and I can see that, even if they give 2024 points, just so they don’t have to pay the full cost of MFs for those last 14 days of 2024.
Disney is paying those maintenance costs either way, it’s just the hotel side pays it if it’s not declared yet. It’s not like the costs to open and run the building aren't being incurred.just so they don’t have to pay the full cost of MFs for those last 14 days of 2024.
Isn’t that how they’ve opened every single one of the DVC resorts and/or phases so far? it doesn’t seem to have caused enough issues to get talked aboutThe problem with giving anyone 2024 points when only cash bookings for the corresponding units are available until, say, Jan 1, 2025, is the influx of points into the system and the imbalance it creates.
Say, hypothetically, they decide to start selling in August and offer September, October, and December UY's with 2024 points included. Let's also say they sell like gangbusters (as some have suggested they will) and manage to unload say 200,000 points. VDH sold nearly 150k points its first month in mostly pre-sales in May of last year, and another 160k in June in general sales, so 200-250k points is absolutely well within the realm of possibility.
Now you've got 200-250k in "new" 2024 points in the system with zero increase in units available for points rental until the first of the year. Sure, many people will choose to bank those points, or possibly use them for MB, but there still remains the possibility that several hundred thousand unrestricted points are now in the system to be used virtually anywhere. Yes, August is only 4 months before January, so home resort advantage isn't being stepped on for anyone who currently owns at Poly, but August is a long way from January when it comes to other resorts even if it is the holiday season and there's a non-zero chance those points could have some negative effect in an unbalanced system.
VDH had points bookings available almost immediately after the tower opened (I know because we stayed in a villa the first week of September). Also, if you follow the VDH thread, there are a number of updates that project when they will need to declare more inventory as points on hand run out, so points inventory is definitely tied to how many units have been declared.Isn’t that how they’ve opened every single one of the DVC resorts and/or phases so far? it doesn’t seem to have caused enough issues to get talked about
I agree 1,000%I watched the video of the 1 bedroom and studio and it is disappointing. We plan on staying there still, but I am tired of Disney not making their rooms feel like Disney ones.
That is why we stay at Disney's resorts because they feel like Disney. These rooms are very beige, and they do not give me the same vibes as the original Poly.
Disney is paying those maintenance costs either way, it’s just the hotel side pays it if it’s not declared yet. It’s not like the costs to open and run the building aren't being incurred.
Didn’t they give all 2022 points to all UYs for BPK? That meant there were three months UY points that were in existence prior to the June opening date.The problem with giving anyone 2024 points when only cash bookings for the corresponding units are available until, say, Jan 1, 2025, is the influx of points into the system and the imbalance it creates.
Say, hypothetically, they decide to start selling in August and offer September, October, and December UY's with 2024 points included. Let's also say they sell like gangbusters (as some have suggested they will) and manage to unload say 200,000 points. VDH sold nearly 150k points its first month in mostly pre-sales in May of last year, and another 160k in June in general sales, so 200-250k points is absolutely well within the realm of possibility.
Now you've got 200-250k in "new" 2024 points in the system with zero increase in units available for points rental until the first of the year. Sure, many people will choose to bank those points, or possibly use them for MB, but there still remains the possibility that several hundred thousand unrestricted points are now in the system to be used virtually anywhere. Yes, August is only 4 months before January, so home resort advantage isn't being stepped on for anyone who currently owns at Poly, but August is a long way from January when it comes to other resorts even if it is the holiday season and there's a non-zero chance those points could have some negative effect in an unbalanced system.
When we bought GFV -Pine Key, we were told no last years points as there was not a last year to take from. Bought when they went on sale for an August UY.Correct, existing Poly owners have 2024 points… but the points associated with the tower are new, additional points that aren’t yet declared into the PVB association. If Disney doesn’t open the tower for points bookings until 2025, I believe the new contracts they sell would start with a 2025 UY. Of course, existing owners of PVB1 will still have 2024 points, but it’s my understanding that the contracts associated with the tower wouldn’t get 2024 points if the points bookings begin in January instead of December (because those points don’t “exist” until 2025).
If they did offer all of those points, then maybe not, but 3 months is a little different than five, especially at the end of the year calendar-wise, and it still raises the question about dues. Do they waive all 2024 dues for the new tower? If you buy in August, that should mean that you're paying about a 40% pro-rata on 2024 dues, but the owner has no access to the resort or its amenities via a points reservation until January of 2025, a new calendar (and MF) year.Didn’t they give all 2022 points to all UYs for BPK? That meant there were three months UY points that were in existence prior to the June opening date.
So, not seeing how this would be different.
I'm in the same boat! No wedding to pay for, but I want the sales delayed so I have more time to save money. Honestly, if they don't offer great incentives out the gate, I will probably wait to buy until later in 2025. All this talk of high price per point and no incentives makes me think there is no harm in waiting to purchase. I think the average user of this board way overestimates the general demand for the new tower. The general public is still going to need to be able to afford the purchase.I think I'm the only one who's hoping for later so that way I have more time before the resort goes on sale to save up money and potentially delay my purchase to early 2026. I don't want to lose out on the first years worth of points and I have an April UY so if they push it off until 2025 to start sales I'll have more time to recover from other less important things before buying like a wedding..(kidding, please don't let my partner see this)
I'm pretty certain a good chunk of them delaying Poly tower though is just because they want CFW to have more time in the spotlight. I mean the resort hasn't even been open 7 days yet and they want as many people as possible signing up for the cabins however little that is before they release Poly and CFWs sales essentially become nonexistent.
When we bought GFV -Pine Key, we were told no last years points as there was not a last year to take from. Bought when they went on sale for an August UY.
If they did offer all of those points, then maybe not, but 3 months is a little different than five, especially at the end of the year calendar-wise, and it still raises the question about dues. Do they waive all 2024 dues for the new tower? If you buy in August, that should mean that you're paying about a 40% pro-rata on 2024 dues, but the owner has no access to the resort or its amenities via a points reservation until January of 2025, a new calendar (and MF) year.
In your BPK example, the new owners had the ability to enjoy the use of the resort from June through December of 2022, or over half the year.
Maybe I’m missing something. If they own the rooms, they rent them for cash and use the money to cover their costs.Except, if they offer those rooms for cash, they have a stream to offset them…once open for points booking, then they are 100% responsible.
Maybe I’m missing something. If they own the rooms, they rent them for cash and use the money to cover their costs.
If they declare them, and they’re not booked by owners, they still rent them for cash and use the money to cover costs.
Right?
Right, but the scenario hinted at was sales starting in August and points bookings starting after Jan 1. If they don't start selling until October (which I think is likely), then sure two months is nothing and they can do everything you mention. If they start selling in October, then points booking in January at the latest would be consistent with recent resort openings (just like BPK). It's the sales starting 5 months before you can book at the resort that becomes less ideal.Right, but if they start sales in October, and give 2024 points to Oct and Dec UY, with opening starting sometime in 2025...then those UY's would be given a similar situation.
Right, but the scenario mentioned was sales starting in August and points bookings starting after Jan 1. If they don't start selling until October (which I think is likely), then sure two months is nothing and they can do everything you mention. It's the sales starting 5 months before you can book at the resort that becomes less ideal.
Which is again why I don't think they are going to start selling in August if they don't plan on declaring until January.Well, that is what happened with RIV....they started sales in April, and opened in December, and other than Feb/March, they gave out 2019 points...
So, they had 8 months of sales, and had 6 UY's worth of points out there. Remember, no matter what the points are that are given, they can't be used anywhere until the opening date of the units that go with them.
So, if they did sell in Aug with an opening date of units in 2025, none of the UYs' getting 2024 points would be eligible to use them until that opening date of points based rooms.
Guessing the difference is owners will book the tower, so the longhouse inventory may be what they try to book for cash.Maybe I’m missing something. If they own the rooms, they rent them for cash and use the money to cover their costs.
If they declare them, and they’re not booked by owners, they still rent them for cash and use the money to cover costs.
Right?
I agree, but just saying that no reason that they can't do it, since they have done it before with other projects.....I think the reason we won't see August sales is because we haven't yet seen them declare the inventory, but not because they don't want points floating out there.Which is again why I don't think they are going to start selling in August if they don't plan on declaring until January.