Hmmm--Well, of course there is no easy answer to your question because there are a lot of variables.
In your example, lets take 2 scenarios for this year (2003):
March 2, 2003 arrival date (this is a Sunday and makes it so you only have 1 fri/sat in your date range) for 10 days. All examples are for a studio.
Old Key West (OKW) would need 142 points for a studio
Beach Club Villas (BCV) would need 176 points for a studio
During that time frame OKW =11points per night M-TH and 27 points per night for FR/SA
BCV=14 points per night M-TH and 32 points per night for FR/SA
Some years (depending when Easter falls and when spring break is), the points could be a lot higher.
For October--picking an arrival on a Sunday night Oct 5th for 10 days
OKW 106 total points (8/night weekdays, 21/night FR/SA)
BCV 142 total points (12/night weekdays, 23/night fr/sa)
What are the actual costs: you have to figure your price per point
(total purchase price divided by 39 years left on the contract plus interest cost--if any) plus your yearly maint. fees. For me, it comes out to be almost $6.00/point (but, I bought last year and the price has increased since then).... You would be buying into BCV or VWL, I would expect.
For me, I estimate it would work out as follows (remember--there isn't any room tax on top of this)
$85.20/night for OKW in Mar this year
$105.50/night for BCV in Mar this year
$63.00/night OKW in Oct this year
$85.20 BCV in OCT this year
Is it worth it? Hmmm. Well, it is true that the maint. can go up each year, but there are limits as to how much they can go up in any given year. So, I think DVC ownership does a fine job of stabilzing the costs.
Has your sister let you borrow points to stay at a DVC property? I think actually staying at a DVC property is the biggest selling point. With a baby, I am sure you would find it convenient to have a Fridge and a microwave (which every studio has). While the studios don't have a washer and dryer in each unit like the 1 and 2 BR units do, there is a washer/dryer in a community area to use at no add'l cost (you do have to bring your laundry soap).
Maybe you could ask your sister if you could borrow her membership materials and look at different scenarios as far as the points are concerned to get a better feeling for it.
By the way, points are now at $84/per point with a 150 point min. There may be some incentives which would lower the price per point.
-DC
