I self-referred myself to the BGR. Auto-approved!
It was a bit nerve-wracking after hitting submit because I accidentally clicked one of Amex's many other links on the page that lets you add employee cards before I got to the decision page. But, I didn't get the bonus denial pop up after hitting submit so I was feeling confident. I checked the Amex application status site and it said I was approved. I got an approval email a hot minute later. Then I jumped onto Amex chat and confirmed my approval and that the 50k MR welcome offer was attached. Confirmed. I know frontline reps can be wrong, but I guess this is the best I can do in these uncertain times.
I wrestled with whether to go for the call-in 75k MR/$10k MSR offer or just self-refer to the 50k MR/$5k MSR offer. Complicating my decision a little was I'm maxed out of 15k MR referrals on my Biz Plat, my MB Plat doesn't refer, and I don't have a BBP yet. So I thought maybe I could self-refer to the BBP for 10k MR + 10k MR, get approved, set up the BBP account and self-refer to the BGR for 15k MR + 50k MR, but that would add the BBP's $3k MSR to the BGR's $5k MSR, and the whole point of going the referral route was to avoid adding more in Amex MSRs. (I don't even know if I could get all this done in time! But props if anyone wants to try this.)
So, I settled for a self-referral from my Amex Gold for 10k MR + 50k MR on the BGR with a $5k MSR. I did some mathing, and the difference from the call-in 75k MR offer is 15k MR for $5k of additional spend, or 3x MR/$1. Well, I could do better than that by spending $5k on GoC GCs and earn 4x MR on that spend for a little over 20k MR. I'm feeling pretty good about my decision. The BGR was in my scopes anyway, and applying today lets me avoid the not waived $295 AF that's going to drop tomorrow.