I am sure it is a rumour but ....

IMO one can argue the point chart value at AKV can be taken as entry level into DVC as in a moderate DVC. 96 points for a week in July as opposed to the other hotel point costs such as BLT for 137. OKW is 106 for a week in July and the rest range in points between 106 and 137.
 
Therein lies the problem. Less points needed for a reservation = less points to reserve the room for the year = less points per unit to sell at the resort = less income per sq. ft. of construction during initial sales.

Combine that with DVC needing more sqtf/unit at a discounted (but prepaid) price and I think it becomes very, very difficult to make the financial proposal. It's one thing converting 1 Deluxe unit with low yearly occupancy into a DVC studio, but converting, say, 1.5 moderate units into a studio really kills the value DVC offers the deluxe resorts
 
I really love POR, but have concerns about DVC going to a moderate resort.

I've not seen the aerial photos to know about the land, but there seems to be a good bit of woods between POR and the treehouses. Matter of fact...I can see the whole Port Orleans back story kind of fitting an area that would connect the area with the treehouses.

However, I bet that area is part of the protected wetlands. Too bad, I had already picked out very wooded individual bayou dwellings within a stone's throw of the water.

DVC might do OK with a unique type of unit that happened to be closest to a moderate's ammenities. THV happened to be partially grandfathered and was inbetween SSR and OKW.
I was contemplating boathouses...
 
But they are still left with problem of "perception" for the buyers. No matter how nice they made a POP DVC, would potential buyers still see it as a "value resort addition" in their minds? First impressions die hard. I'd probably actually really like the POP location as a condo style DVC similar to OKW, but I'm not sure it would sell well. It also should not be named anything like Pop Century or even Decades, maybe the Timeline resort, American Ages, or something.

But, once DVC is done selling deluxe WDW DVC timeshares (and after GF and Poly) What perception would the sales people have to maintain to whom? the sales people would just want to keep a job, and not really care if they are "devaluing" the existing sold-out deluxe product...
 

IMO one can argue the point chart value at AKV can be taken as entry level into DVC as in a moderate DVC. 96 points for a week in July as opposed to the other hotel point costs such as BLT for 137. OKW is 106 for a week in July and the rest range in points between 106 and 137.
I wouldn't word it that way but I see your point. Those units you refer to are the value units. They are less points for a reason, because they are lessor rooms. Still, they do hold a certain value due to the costs and the fact that a portion of them are savannah view units.
 
While the current contract structuring probably precludes it, why couldn't DVC roll out a 'lite' version of the club (think less expensive buy in, accommodations along the line of the family suites @ the AS value, i.e., 2 units converted into one)

perhaps a 3:1 point conversion factor would work for these owners to cross over to the current DVC point scale and the reverse for existing members to downscale @ slightly shorter than current 7 month window (4 months out?)

Can't say i've ever visited POR, but we selected it for FD in Dec, looks lovely, especially the lush landscaping

From what i gather the Riverside section is huge. Why not take 1/2 of the resort (bayou?) and just re-configure the existing hotel rooms with just the right Disney spin to make them different from the standard rooms...

nemo, pirate, princess/frog;), whatever

IMO, wouldn't cheapen the brand if it's designated as separate tier of membership. It could be easily be implemented @ any of the mods.
 
While the current contract structuring probably precludes it, why couldn't DVC roll out a 'lite' version of the club (think less expensive buy in, accommodations along the line of the family suites @ the AS value, i.e., 2 units converted into one)

perhaps a 3:1 point conversion factor would work for these owners to cross over to the current DVC point scale and the reverse for existing members to downscale @ slightly shorter than current 7 month window (4 months out?)

Can't say i've ever visited POR, but we selected it for FD in Dec, looks lovely, especially the lush landscaping

From what i gather the Riverside section is huge. Why not take 1/2 of the resort (bayou?) and just re-configure the existing hotel rooms with just the right Disney spin to make them different from the standard rooms...

nemo, pirate, princess/frog;), whatever

IMO, wouldn't cheapen the brand if it's designated as separate tier of membership. It could be easily be implemented @ any of the mods.
I don't think there's any legal or contractual exclusion. The limitations are related more to practicality and profit. In general I agree with you that IF they did something along these lines of a lesser product, it would need to be somewhat separate. Any type of crossover that gave current members a priority for all DVC resorts would be workable, say 6 months instead of 7. As you are likely hinting at, the current points structure isn't as functional when you get to smaller increments but is likely still workable. And I agree they could do it without lowering the impression of DVC if they did it totally separate though I do feel that simply including such a venture in DVC WOULD lower DVC in general.

One item is it's difficult and expensive to do a hotel conversion well. The unfinished portion of Pop is a great place to try the experiment if Disney is inclined to go that route. Likely a better option for them would simply be to add on smaller to mid sized purpose built true DVC additions at one or more of the moderates assuming there's a reasonable place to put them though I suspect there is at all of the moderates. Another angle is to simply keep adding DVC to the deluxe locations including another tower at BLT, the Poly, the GF and the YC. I know of all of the deluxe locatiions have some space limitations but the idea is likely a better one financially for DVC than would be a separate system.

As noted above, it'd be difficult to do so at a profit however, there are other benefits of such a system (and DVC) to Disney than simply profit of the venture itself. DVC and any similar system creates a baseline number of visitors and creates a certain amount of protection for the park area in question. It also transfers much or all of the cost risk and upkeep to others and out of the hands of Disney itself for the portion in question. Ensuring people on property at slower times is a major benefit to Disney and one of the best benefits they enjoy from DVC.

As I noted previously, they could simply do a vacation club where you're prepaying to use the existing hotel rooms and do less of the discounting route they are currently doing. They could use their existing systems to support either a new vacation club or a lessor timeshare system.
 
I don't think there's any legal or contractual exclusion. The limitations are related more to practicality and profit. In general I agree with you that IF they did something along these lines of a lesser product, it would need to be somewhat separate. Any type of crossover that gave current members a priority for all DVC resorts would be workable, say 6 months instead of 7. As you are likely hinting at, the current points structure isn't as functional when you get to smaller increments but is likely still workable. And I agree they could do it without lowering the impression of DVC if they did it totally separate though I do feel that simply including such a venture in DVC WOULD lower DVC in general..
As a current owner, I agree, but once DVC sells out all of the WDW deluxes, why would DVC sales care what WE think?

One item is it's difficult and expensive to do a hotel conversion well. The unfinished portion of Pop is a great place to try the experiment if Disney is inclined to go that route. Likely a better option for them would simply be to add on smaller to mid sized purpose built true DVC additions at one or more of the moderates assuming there's a reasonable place to put them though I suspect there is at all of the moderates. Another angle is to simply keep adding DVC to the deluxe locations including another tower at BLT, the Poly, the GF and the YC. I know of all of the deluxe locatiions have some space limitations but the idea is likely a better one financially for DVC than would be a separate system. .
I think the deluxes make the most financial sense for DVC and Disney. The Moderates and Values are closer to a Walmart analogy, high volume and product density with lower margins. I do not think the DVC (pre-paid but discounted) numbers work out as well in higher density resorts. DVC might be able to do a higher density opposite reverse lockoff. (studio+kitchen+studio with occupancy of 4+6+10) Overall I think there's a reason Disney has added more Moderates and Values than Deluxes recently and are happy operating that way.

As noted above, it'd be difficult to do so at a profit however, there are other benefits of such a system (and DVC) to Disney than simply profit of the venture itself. DVC and any similar system creates a baseline number of visitors and creates a certain amount of protection for the park area in question. It also transfers much or all of the cost risk and upkeep to others and out of the hands of Disney itself for the portion in question. Ensuring people on property at slower times is a major benefit to Disney and one of the best benefits they enjoy from DVC.

As I noted previously, they could simply do a vacation club where you're prepaying to use the existing hotel rooms and do less of the discounting route they are currently doing. They could use their existing systems to support either a new vacation club or a lessor timeshare systemc
 
IMO one can argue the point chart value at AKV can be taken as entry level into DVC as in a moderate DVC. 96 points for a week in July as opposed to the other hotel point costs such as BLT for 137. OKW is 106 for a week in July and the rest range in points between 106 and 137.

No, those are just the value AKV rooms, which there are only a handful of. They are small rooms that are artifacts of the Jambo conversion process. An "apples to apples" comparison to the other resorts would exclude the value category (i.e., standard AKV to standard BWV, Savannah View AKV to Preferred View BWV).
 
As a current owner, I agree, but once DVC sells out all of the WDW deluxes, why would DVC sales care what WE think?
They might care a lot. A surprisingly large chunk of current sales are to pre-existing owners, and those sales are inexpensive in terms of marketing costs---they don't need to explain the program to you, or tell you why it's great.
 
As a current owner, I agree, but once DVC sells out all of the WDW deluxes, why would DVC sales care what WE think?
I suspect Disney will always care what people think, they really have to to stay in business. However, I don't believe they are worried about keeping each and every person happy and that is likely one of the differences in the way I look at this than most here on DIS, that and the interpretation of what it would take to make enough people upset enough to affect their actions and $$$. The fact that some might sell really means nothing unless enough people are upset to affect the overall perception of the average buyer.


I think the deluxes make the most financial sense for DVC and Disney. The Moderates and Values are closer to a Walmart analogy, high volume and product density with lower margins. I do not think the DVC (pre-paid but discounted) numbers work out as well in higher density resorts. DVC might be able to do a higher density opposite reverse lockoff. (studio+kitchen+studio with occupancy of 4+6+10) Overall I think there's a reason Disney has added more Moderates and Values than Deluxes recently and are happy operating that way.
Overall we likely agree mostly in this area. I'd point out though that a true DVC connected to a moderate wouldn't have these restrictions. And again say there's more potential benefit than simply the intrinsic $$$ of the project itself.
 
If BLT sells out as quickly as anticipated, I wouldn't be surprised to see the next DVC resort near MK. Members have wanted a resort on the Monorail line for a long time. "Polynesian Villas" has a nice ring to it!
 
If BLT sells out as quickly as anticipated, I wouldn't be surprised to see the next DVC resort near MK. Members have wanted a resort on the Monorail line for a long time. "Polynesian Villas" has a nice ring to it!

Yea but a lot of people have argued that BLT would be sold out by now and it certainly isn't. I'll bet you (and I already have in other threads) that there are still "new" BLT points available from DVD well into 2010 and likely even beyond that. ;)
 
Yea but a lot of people have argued that BLT would be sold out by now and it certainly isn't. I'll bet you (and I already have in other threads) that there are still "new" BLT points available from DVD well into 2010 and likely even beyond that. ;)
Disney has a history of overstating the nearness of a sell out to generate a sense of urgency and encourage those interested or considering it to buy then. IIRC, BCV was 13 months and the fastest. VWL was 12 months but formal sales were reopened 6 months later for another 6 months because it didn't sell out with the announcement and with member add on sells as anticipated. VB and HH were somewhere around 7 years each (maybe someone recalls for certain on them).
 
Given the assumption that most are making about the point cost of a room at a value DVC, I'm having trouble seeing how this would be something DVD would choose to do.

Aren't construction costs are pretty much the same no matter which piece of WDW land is used? If so, DVD would have to sell less points for a value DVC resort thanit can for a deluxe resort.

Why would they choose to do a project that has a lower ROR? They wouldn't, so that's why I do not see a value DVC in the future.
 
Given the assumption that most are making about the point cost of a room at a value DVC, I'm having trouble seeing how this would be something DVD would choose to do.

Aren't construction costs are pretty much the same no matter which piece of WDW land is used? If so, DVD would have to sell less points for a value DVC resort thanit can for a deluxe resort.

Why would they choose to do a project that has a lower ROR? They wouldn't, so that's why I do not see a value DVC in the future.
There are ways to cut construction costs and the acquisition costs should be minimal. Roughly half of the price is marketing anyway which they're already doing to a degree, just roll them in together as much as possible. And if you team up with the current system's infrastructure of MS, etc; I think they could do it in a reasonable manner from a cost standpoint. They would be competing with themselves to a degree as some would buy the lower system than current sales therefore timing would be important for a lull time of current DVC options. I don't see it happening but for other reasons though it wouldn't be a surprise if they did. Even at break even it guarantees patrons for various venues (parks, restaurants, shopping, etc) during lower times and shifts some of the maint and infrastructure risk and costs to others.
 
There are ways to cut construction costs and the acquisition costs should be minimal. Roughly half of the price is marketing anyway which they're already doing to a degree, just roll them in together as much as possible. And if you team up with the current system's infrastructure of MS, etc; I think they could do it in a reasonable manner from a cost standpoint. They would be competing with themselves to a degree as some would buy the lower system than current sales therefore timing would be important for a lull time of current DVC options. I don't see it happening but for other reasons though it wouldn't be a surprise if they did. Even at break even it guarantees patrons for various venues (parks, restaurants, shopping, etc) during lower times and shifts some of the maint and infrastructure risk and costs to others.
Yes, but wouldn't all those things apply to a deluxe DVC as well as to the value DVC?

Again, I think it is a matter of DVD choosing something that will give them the best ROR and I can't see the value option ever coming out on top.
 
Yes, but wouldn't all those things apply to a deluxe DVC as well as to the value DVC?
Some would be, but not all. Think of the differences between a spec house built by a contractor and a custom house. The difference can easily be double for one vs the other depending on specific choices. Even the acquisition costs are likely to be different and cheaper at or around the values than the moderates and those cheaper than the deluxe options. For those that know off property timeshares simply compare something like Marriott's Harbour Lakes (formerly known as Horizon's) to Marriott's Grande Vista or Lakeshore reserve should give you a good feel as to some of the possible routes this could go and still be workable. Or compare resorts like Vacation Villages, Worldmark or Orange Lake compared to DVC, Marriott, Hilton, etc. I would estimate that one could save easily 25-33% per sq ft if cost were a major factor and still end up with a very nice and desirable product for the right target population and given we're likely talking even smaller units and lower acquisition costs, you could likely get it down to around half for such a villa compared to a current DVC villa. And given that one would only have an incremental increase in support, sales, advertising and other infrastructure, I think it'd be fairly easy to make the numbers work.

So I do think that they could build and sell slightly smaller, slightly less upscale units at an appropriate price to make it profitable on it's own merit, esp if you don't include the fact they'd be competing with themselves. I do think there are other deterrents that make it unlikely to happen but I don't think cost alone or lack of a potential profit is one of them.
 
Ok my 2 cents:

1. I would assume Disney in general is going to want to maximize their $$$ per sq ft. Generally deluxe units are the way to do this over Mod or Value.

2. This is a generalization but 80/20 rule here, most who are going to plunk down the money Disney is looking for are going to expect deluxe accomidations and amenities (to inlcude the resort).

3. I don't see people spending the kind of money Disney is going to want for a Mod or Value. If they offer a cheaper price than see my point #1.

4. Not sure how to word this but isn't there a reason they are not building more mod/value rooms now even for CRO? Why would their be a larger demand for a DVC type thing? If less demand for mod/value I see them using that very VALUABLE land and knocking down existing and maximizing $$$ per sq ft by putting some sort of deluxe accomidation there.

This is just something in general I notice about timeshares, they do better in deluxe type settings. Their is a lot of lower end timeshares and they are struggling and people can't give them away on the secondary market. They get stuck with inventory they can't sell, why would DVC want to risk that? Stick with what they know.
 















New Posts





DIS Facebook DIS youtube DIS Instagram DIS Pinterest

Back
Top