I usually do not post this kind of thing but I thought my fellow North East Friends might be interested. i was going to shop tomorrow but I may head out this evening for some nonperishables.
NOAA to East: Beware of coming 'Frankenstorm'
Posted: Oct 25, 2012 2:42 AM EDT
Updated: Oct 25, 2012 3:11 PM EDT
(AP PHOTO/WEATHER UNDERGROUND). This NOAA satellite image taken Wednesday, October 24, 2012 at 1:45 PM EDT shows Hurricane Sandy across the central Caribbean moving northward toward Jamaica and Cuba.
(AP Photo/Collin Reid). Waves, brought by Hurricane Sandy, crash on a house in the Caribbean Terrace neighborhood in eastern Kingston, Jamaica, Wednesday, Oct. 24, 2012.
Map shows path of Hurricane Sandy
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NOAA to East: Beware of coming 'Frankenstorm'
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Updated: Oct 25, 2012 2:14 PM EDT
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Updated: Aug 31, 2012 8:09 AM EDT
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Slow-moving Isaac soaks Louisiana, Mississippi
Updated: Aug 30, 2012 1:35 AM EDT
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Updated: Aug 26, 2012 7:36 PM EDT
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By SETH BORENSTEIN
AP Science Writer
WASHINGTON (AP) - An unusual nasty mix of a hurricane and a winter storm that forecasters are now calling "Frankenstorm" is likely to blast most of the East Coast next week, focusing the worst of its weather mayhem around New York City and New Jersey.
MORE
SLIDESHOW: Hurricane Isaac
Down graded to a tropical depression, Isaac continues north.More >
Government forecasters on Thursday upped the odds of a major weather mess, now saying there's a 90% chance that the East will get steady gale-force winds, heavy rain, flooding and maybe snow starting Sunday and stretching past Halloween on Wednesday.
Meteorologists say it is likely to cause $1 billion in damage.
The storm is a combination of Hurricane Sandy, now in the Caribbean, an early winter storm in the West, and a blast of arctic air from the North. They're predicted to collide and park over the country's most populous coastal corridor and reach as far inland as Ohio.
The hurricane part of the storm is likely to come ashore somewhere in New Jersey on Tuesday morning, said National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecaster Jim Cisco. But this is a storm that will affect a far wider area, so people all along the East have to be wary, Cisco said.
Coastal areas from Florida to Maine will feel some effects, mostly from the hurricane part, he said, and the other parts of the storm will reach inland from North Carolina northward.
Once the hurricane part of the storm hits, "it will get broader. It won't be as intense, but its effects will be spread over a very large area," the National Hurricane Center's chief hurricane specialist, James Franklin, said Thursday.
1 of the more messy aspects of the expected storm is that it just won't leave. The worst of it should peak early Tuesday, but it will stretch into midweek, forecasters say. Weather may start clearing in the mid-Atlantic the day after Halloween and Nov. 2 in the Northeast, Cisco said.
"It's almost a weeklong, 5-day, 6-day event," Cisco said Thursday from NOAA's northern storm forecast center in College Park, Md. "It's going to be a widespread serious storm."
With every hour, meteorologists are getting more confident that this storm is going to be bad and they're able to focus their forecasts more.
The New York area could see around 5 inches of rain during the storm, while there could be snow southwest of where it comes inland, Cisco said. That could mean snow in eastern Ohio, southwestern Pennsylvania, western Virginia, and the Shenandoah Mountains, he said.
Both private and federal meteorologists are calling this a storm that will likely go down in the history books.
"We don't have many modern precedents for what the models are suggesting," Cisco said.
It is likely to hit during a full moon when tides are near their highest, increasing coastal flooding potential, NOAA forecasts warn. And with some trees still leafy and the potential for snow, power outages could last to Election Day, some meteorologists fear.
Some have compared it to the so-called Perfect Storm that struck off the coast of New England in 1991, but Cisco said that one didn't hit as populated an area and is not comparable to what the East Coast may be facing. Nor is it like last year's Halloween storm, which was merely an early snowstorm in the Northeast.
"The Perfect Storm only did $200 million of damage and I'm thinking a billion," said Jeff Masters, meteorology director of the private service Weather Underground. "Yeah, it will be worse."
But this is several days in advance, when weather forecasts are usually far less accurate. The National Hurricane Center only predicts five days in advance, and each long-range forecast moves Sandy's track closer to the coast early next week. The latest has the storm just off central New Jersey's shore at 8 a.m. on Tuesday.
As forecasts became more focused Thursday, the chance of the storm bypassing much of the coast and coming ashore in Maine faded, Cisco said.
The hurricane center's Franklin called it "a big mess for an awful lot of people in the early part of next week."
Associated Press writer Tony Winton contributed to this report from Miami.
Online:
NOAA's Hydrometeorological Prediction Center:
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml
National Hurricane Center:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Seth Borenstein can be followed at
http://twitter.com/borenbears
Copyright 2012 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
), bottled water, extra nonperishable canned food and snacks, a couple campfire packs of firewoood in case I need to light a fire, some extra cash in case the power is out and I can't get any from the ATM (I usually don't care more than $10), etc. I obviously wasn't the only person thinking ahead because the bottled water aisle and the flashlight section at Walmart were pretty empty already.
This year I procrastinated putting out the Halloween decorations and I could not understand why. Halloween is one of my favorite holidays and I always get the yard and porch ready early. And then I remembered how bad Alfred was and the mess I had 2 weeks later when we finally got out from under the snow and downed trees and lines. I decided to let it go this year and I am so glad now.
