Yes this is the trickiest part - trying to figure out the best choice for the long haul. It’s just really hard to predict. What I expected about our future use turned out different after actually getting to experience different rooms/resorts ourselves, plus our family’s habits continue to evolve. It’s a moving target
I’m at a crossroads myself. Like you said, it’s a large sum of money. And it’s tied to a much larger amount of future money spent since
DVC ends up a fraction of those trip expenses. So I can understand the scrutinizing and trying to get it right.
I feel like if we’re going to spend over $20k then Direct may be the best option because a long unrestricted contract with all the bells whistles covers a wide range of use. There’s a strong possibility it ends up the most cost effective… depending on
how we actually use it over all those years.
But our need for adding on points isn’t for more nights. It’s for larger units, specifically 1BRs. So then maybe we’re a good case for most economical Resale points for using at 7 months. But it’s not a safe bet either. Maybe we change room size again, or want to book restricted resorts, or eventually need blue card benefits covering more of our points, etc. Not an easy decision!