Grand Californian Sellout Poll

[tvwalsh]

Now we know how many villas. We also may know the price, $104/pt.

Time for a sellout prediction poll!

 

[tvwalsh]

I would guess that WLV or BCV holds the record for a quick sell out. Does anyone know how many villas in each and how quickly they sold out?

 

[tvwalsh]

The opinion has been expressed on other threads that the GCV sellout would be very quick. A few posters have said almost immediate. If perception is reality, this poll seems to say that it will sell somewhat slower than that. Maybe we'll have time to think about it!

 

[pilferk]

darn it, I clicked the wrong radio button.

Meant to click "less than 3 months" but somehow managed to click "less than one month".

Grr.

 

[tvwalsh]

You are one of those Florida voters from the 2000 election, right?

 

[pilferk]

You are one of those Florida voters from the 2000 election, right?

I guess so...but I'm wondering just which type of "chad" I'd qualify for...hanging, pregnant, broken.....

 

[1000th happy haunt]

VWL:
Rooms: 136 (181 max)
Dedicated Studio: 20
Dedicated One Bedroom: 27
Dedicated Two Bedroom: 44
Lockoff Two Bedroom: 45

BCV:
Rooms: 208 (282 max)
Dedicated Studio: 36
Dedicated One Bedroom: 20
Dedicated Two Bedroom: 78
Lockoff Two Bedroom: 74

But I don't know how fast they sold out.

GCV has announced 50 two-bedroom equivalents. That means only 100 rooms, if all the two bedrooms are lockoffs.

 

[dwelty]

The opinion has been expressed on other threads that the GCV sellout would be very quick. A few posters have said almost immediate. If perception is reality, this poll seems to say that it will sell somewhat slower than that. Maybe we'll have time to think about it!

While I know that GCH will sell very quickly. 750,000 points (Estimate based on the number of 2 bedroom units) seems like a lot. It is about equal to 1 1/2 SSR buildings. SSR is selling out about 1 building every 3 months. (They are on their last one right now). Based on the SSR model, using a conservative estimate, would mean they should sell in about 4 1/2 months.
But it is not really a fair comparison since there are other resorts avalible at WDW (AKL, and all of the resales) Since this is the only DVC avalible at the Disneyland Resort, coupled with pent up demand, I think about 2 months will do it. Once this happens, look for a new DVC announcement somewhere else on property.

 

[POOH&PIGLET]

It will sell out as fast as DVC can process all of the sales paperwork.
I imagine about 1 month.

 

[sjdisneywedding]

I have to give it 6 months to a year(I clicked 1-2 years by mistake)

yes there will be an initial craze where they sell quickly to current owners or those waiting to buy in only in CA.


I dont think it will be slow by any means but a month or two can go by in the blink of an eye,

if all the points dont go to current members then you have to wait until the marketing takes effect with mailings, letters, sales, promos

which again wont be long but a month can fly by.

you would have to sell about 175 50 point add ons a day for 3 months to get close to selling it out. thats alot per day I think

 

[JimC]

I think very fast (3 - 6 months) but in smaller point contracts. DL is at best a three day visit, four if you spend some time at the resort.

 

[CarolAnnC]

I also chose 3-6 months. I can see some buying larger amounts of points if they perhaps extend their stay to include other So. Calif sites such as Universal, Knotts Berry Farm, etc. Or perhaps members who will trade out occasionally, or those who may rent out points/reservations...ouch. LOL! But for the most part DL is about a 4 day stay, like JimC says.

 

[dwelty]

yes there will be an initial craze where they sell quickly to current owners or those waiting to buy in only in CA.


I dont think it will be slow by any means but a month or two can go by in the blink of an eye,

if all the points dont go to current members then you have to wait until the marketing takes effect with mailings, letters, sales, promos

which again wont be long but a month can fly by.

you would have to sell about 175 50 point add ons a day for 3 months to get close to selling it out. thats alot per day I think

You make a good point, they will offer the sales first to members (maybe for three months), then they will market to the general public and sell to them. It might go to 6 months.
The only variable that I could see that might change this is that sales at DLR are number 2 behind WDW. If they see sales slow at DLR due to the fact people are waiting for GCH points to go on sale, they may accelerate the roll out schedule. They do not want their fairly large sales staff to sit idle out there.

 

[dwelty]

I think very fast (3 - 6 months) but in smaller point contracts. DL is at best a three day visit, four if you spend some time at the resort.

Yes, but Southern California is one of the top tourist destinations in the nation. Timeshare construction has exploded in So Cal because of this. Anaheim is very centrally located to most tourists hot spots in the area.

Many people west of the Rockies go to So Cal once a year for a week similar to the way easterners visit WDW. It also has a large snow bird population in the winter from Washington, Oregon, and British Columbia. I think they will sell more 160+ contracts than you think.

in 2006 it was the number three tourist destination after Orlando and Las Vegas.

 

[nuts]

I also chose 3-6 months. I can see some buying larger amounts of points if they perhaps extend their stay to include other So. Calif sites such as Universal, Knotts Berry Farm, etc. Or perhaps members who will trade out occasionally, or those who may rent out points/reservations...ouch. LOL! But for the most part DL is about a 4 day stay, like JimC says.

I think California visits are different than DisneyWorld. I go to DisneyWorld and stay on-site the whole time, do nothing but disneyworld "stuff". When I go to Anaheim, I go to DL on day one, California Adventure on day 2, then to Burbank (Tonight show, etc) on day 3, San Diego for a day trip, Newport beach for another day trip, etc. I then end my trip back at DL for my final day. Trip usually is 7 days. I can see myself staying at GCV the entire time. Nice central location and easy to get to I-5.

 

[JimC]

Yes, but Southern California is one of the top tourist destinations in the nation. Timeshare construction has exploded in So Cal because of this. Anaheim is very centrally located to most tourists hot spots in the area.

Many people west of the Rockies go to So Cal once a year for a week similar to the way easterners visit WDW. It also has a large snow bird population in the winter from Washington, Oregon, and British Columbia. I think they will sell more 160+ contracts than you think.

in 2006 it was the number three tourist destination after Orlando and Las Vegas.

Agree, except that DVC is too expensive to use for touring Southern California. When we go we stay at GC only for our DL stay then we move elsewhere. Just my 2 cents.

 

[Robo-Daddy 3000]

Since this is the only DVC avalible at the Disneyland Resort, coupled with pent up demand, I think about 2 months will do it. Once this happens, look for a new DVC announcement somewhere else on property.

But don't you think it will be at least 2-3 years before a new DVC at DL will be announced and ready for occupancy? I don't want to wait that long. I think it will be better to add-on now at GC, then to wait for whatever might happen in the future.

 

[lisareniff]

Oh! I Love public polls!!

I voted less then three months. Probably right on the 3 month time frame.

That will be a high demand property. It will sell at a greater pace then the current WDW properties since there is no resale market available.

 

[SuzanneSLO]

I am an AP holder at DL (though with the new blockout day prices, we may have to rethink that). We live about 4 hours away and always plan our trips in advance (unlike many who are truly local and head over for the day or the weekend on a whim).

That said, I have never in my life scheduled a trip to DL more than 7 months in advance. To us, the whole point to vacationing close to home is that you can do it without so much advance planning. If I am going to plan that far ahead, I will hop on a plane and head to WDW and enjoy the comforts of BWV.

Unless the points per room are a steal (not likely) or the points are really cheap (again, not likely), I don't see us buying even 25 points at GCV.

Instead, you'll probably find us at the PP enjoying a great AP rate or over at the Sheraton earning miles to upgrade our flights to Florida!

-- Suzanne

 

[dwelty]

Agree, except that DVC is too expensive to use for touring Southern California. When we go we stay at GC only for our DL stay then we move elsewhere. Just my 2 cents.

Then DVC should not sell in Hawaii either, because Wiakiki is only really a 2 day thing. Or any other location.