I don't understand why everyone thinks GFV point price will start higher than BLT? BLT started at a lower price for the first people who bought correct? It took years to get it to the current ridiculous price of $165. We bought for $120 with incentive in 2010. I thought people who bought when it was first opened only paid somewhere around $100? I am just confused, can anyone explain?
You have to consider some key variables. First, BLT was the second DVC resort to open in 2009, and the first, AKV, was not selling well from the get-go. When you also consider that the worldwide recession was in full effect, I would imagine that whatever they started selling BLT at was less than what they anticipated when they broke ground years earlier. If BLT was to open today, it would start at a much higher price point than where it was 3+ years ago simply on the back of a much stronger economy.
Another key factor is the supply. BLT is more than twice the size of GFV. GFV will reek of exclusivity, with the limited number of villas being a key selling point.
In my opinion, the current pricing for BLT is ultimately intended to align with the GFV pricing. I can't imagine they'd start GFV at a LOWER price than BLT. I'd personally be shocked if the starting price isn't higher than $165, maybe even $180, with incentives to bring it down to the $165. They are not going to compete with BLT by providing a newer, cheaper monorail resort at a lower price. Just as the GF is the "jewel" of the Disney resorts, they will be sure to promote GFV as the jewel of the DVC system and the pricing will be structured accordingly.
I personally do not see a scenario in which GFV is anywhere near the $125-$135 (with incentives) that has been mentioned. I also don't agree with the notion that they would start low and raise it quickly if the sales are brisk, but wouldn't start high and lower it if the opposite happens; they really don't care about perception, they want to make the most money possible and they know that if the price is too high and they lower it there will eventually be buyers.