mustinjourney
DIS Veteran
- Joined
- May 8, 2016
- Messages
- 3,074
We're looking for a similarly sized Poly contract. Though the difference would be ~$6000 now between resale vs direct, we constantly ponder the direct benefits. We're a family of 3 and yes, we know that we may never be able to make up that additional expense via AP's. However, we're finding it tough to value the ability to use those points for future DVC properties, especially since future rooms will most likely cost more points than now. $6000 is a lot right now. But will it be worth more in the future?
One thing to think about is what you get for that $6000 premium.
Right now -- you are having a rough time finding the points. Based on the $6k difference, I'm assuming you're looking at getting a 75 point contract. With that in mind -- how long are you going to spend looking for the perfect contract? 6 months? And then another 2-3 months before you can use the points. Also -- the contract will likely be stripped...so there goes a year's worth of points.
So direct vs resale is likely 8 months of not being able to use the points AND likely at least one year's worth of points (with direct you always get a loaded contract). Those points are worth about $1000 right now ($13 per point value) -- so now you're down to only a $5000 true premium.
With a family of 3 -- if you buy APs, you're saving $420 per person per year -- so that is $1260 for year 1. Within 4 years, you'll have broken even with the AP savings.
Those benefits could go away -- but I don't think they will. In fact, I expect direct benefits to stay the same or get better since that is disney's best way of keeping people buying direct over resale.
so yes -- $6000 is a lot -- but it could make sense for you in this case. Finding that perfect contract could cost a lot in terms of your time and mental strain.