clsteve
"It takes a very long time to become young..."
- Joined
- Jul 25, 2012
- Messages
- 1,550
Pre-FP+, FP return times didn't start until about 45 minutes after rope drop. So even if someone took that earliest FP (not many would due to low crowd levels that 1st hour), you still had 45 minutes of pure standby before FPs began slowing down the SB line.
Now return times start at 9. And when Disney incentivizes you to burn through your FP+s early so you can pull a 4th, 5th, etc., people are more likely to take those. So the SB wait is higher earlier in the morning than it would be otherwise.
Now on our May trip we were able to counter that a little bit by being at the turnstiles super-duper early if they let people in before scheduled start time. DHS was really good for this, as was EP. But now DHS has reinstated a rope drop show (Frozen), so getting to DHS early is countered because everybody gets held up there.
Frustrating.
Yes, the 4th, 5th+ FP potential does incent those of us who like to ride multiple times to book earlier. And, when it's the busy season, all FP+ slots are going to be reserved for the early times. It's just supply and demand.
Plus, those of us who hop are trying to reserve afternoon ones at another Park and RD for standby rides at the morning one
It was going to take getting through a few months and seasons to get any real trends out of this
But again it is still more dependent on the crowd level, on 7+ days (like today) more people are going to be in the parks, including using RD and even booking early morning FP+. However if you are "off season" with lower crowds (below 5), many fewer guests means much smaller numbers at RD and small numbers reserving early morning FP+.
Even with FP+ I still say RD is going to provide an advantage, one that is even greater during periods of non-peak crowds.
RD should still continue to be an advantage (I sure hope so). But, in your low crowds scenario, in case we still see the same trends OP is pointing out: we can't assume Disney is allocating the same percentage of FP+ slots in high and low crowd times.
I would be tempted to increase the FP+ allocations available for reservation during low crowd times to entice more or longer on-site stays or to lock in more off-siters. It would make good business sense. But that would cause OPs observed trends to continue. Just something to watch and think about....