He's normally a super competitive kid, but for whatever reason, he is struggling with XC. He doesn't have the same swagger he did when he was in 9th grade (coming off a good 8th grade season where he was in the top-10 all-time for MS at our school.) We've talked about just "latching on" to someone else in the race that we know what kinds of times they run and not thinking about pace at all and just running with them. And he has either NOT done this, or just blown up spectacularly. But when you look at his race splits, mile one is usually mid 5s, and then mile 2 is 45-60sec slower, and then mile 3 is even slower. And he's in better shape than that fade indicates when you look at his workouts. He's 1 meet away from me talking to his coaches because if he can't get stuff figured out, indoor/winter track might be in jeopardy, spring track might be a "whatever," and snowball into "I'm just here to hang out with my friends" his senior season. And he won't be a happy kid if that happens because, again, he's really competitive.
He ran just a couple seconds over 5:00 in track for the mile. Humphrey's says that at 5k equivalent is 16:44.
He ran a 2mi time trial at team camp in 11:20 (and he runs like garbage when he doesn't get enough sleep) which the equivalent for that is 18:04. So theoretically he should be somewhere in the middle of that? Mid-17s? So far this year he's run 18:23 on a flat course, and 20:15 on a hilly course that the GAP doesn't indicate that big of a slow-down.