DVC is a great program for those that like to visit WDW on a regular basis and forsee themselves doing so for time to come. If someone just doesn't see going to WDW that often, then many are correct when they say DVC is not for you (or, if you are perfectly happy in a value resort).
But DVC is and always will be a way to commit to prepaid vacations. The great thing about it being a points based system, you can make it work for you , even if you do not go every year. A 50 point contract can be bought these days for around $4000.00. With banking and borrowing, that could get someone a week in a studio, every 3 years. Even with MF's, that brings the cost of the room to only around $900.00--an average of $128.00 per night.
Here is how I analyzed it, for my family, when deciding if buying in would be worth it:
Cost to buy at BLT with 165 points--enough to get me 8 nights in a studio during Magic Season (summer--2nd highest season) EVERY year. $17,120.
Yearly MF's are $3.67/ppt or 605.55 per year. Contract length is for 50 years. So, averaging it out, I am paying $948.55 per year for my room costs to stay in deluxe accommodations.
Using today's room costs (at a 35% discount), a garden view room, for 8 nights at the Contemporary (where I like to stay) would cost me $1631.00 per year.
Based on this, I am saving over $600.00 per year. Now I realize that MF's will go up, but so will room rates and as far as I am concerned, this can be considered a wash.
Granted, I am investing my dollars now and I am basing this on paying upfront (no interest charges). I am also not calculating on lost investment interest because personally, my vacation dollars are spent every year on vacation. If I find that I have extra money, I use it for more vacation or something else special. It is not put away and invested (I have other money that I use for that!)
Even if I decide to sell in 10 years and get only $67.00 per point, I will recoup $11,000 of my initial investment. So, for 10 years worth of MF's and $6000 for the contract, I would still average yearly room costs LESS (about $1300) than what I am currently paying. For me, this was enough for me to know it would work.
For my family, we love WDW and see ourselves going for years. My children love it as much as we do and even though they are getting older, they also are excited about the prospect of having it available to them when and if there comes a time that DH and I don't want to go.
But DVC really is an individual decision and everyone has to look at it from their own situation. Good luck in your decisions!!!