DVC Direct Price Increase Coming February 2026

[Girlstar30]

My uneducated guess: Riviera resale drops to the 90s. If it hit the 70s I might even consider a small resale contract (but maybe not). I don’t think it will be ROFR’d that much. New resorts will take precedence in DVC’s active selling portfolio.

Remind me in five years and we’ll see if I’m anywhere close to correct!

I agree with this except my guess is $95 I also think the value of non restricted resorts will go up (My wishful thinking )

 

[airjay75]

I think Riviera’s dynamics are fundamentally different from what would be required for a sustained drop into the 90s.

I think it’s going to stabilize around $120…as an average…

This is what I think. Maybe a +/- of $10/point or so. IMO, the current resale market overvalues the ability to exchange into other resorts and undervalues the length of contract. Resorts like BCV/BWV should essentially be viewed economically as if they were restricted resorts, but the resale market places quite a premium on them over RIV, which has a MUCH longer contract (of course, BCV/BWV are walking distance to Epcot/HS and also have more favorable points charts, so there are other factors influencing their resale prices too). Also see CCV and BLT - CCV has an 8 year longer contract than BLT, yet resale prices tend to be about the same, and recently had some months where BLT was outpacing CCV resale prices.

As we near 2042 and beyond, I think the length of contract is going to become a much more significant component of the value in a resale contract. No, that doesn't mean RIV resale is going to see any sudden increase in it's resale value, but I think it will also prevent a drop into the sub-$100/point range for some time. You can buy a RIV resale contract in 2040 . . . and still have 30 years of use left.

 

[Cfabar1]

I agree with this except my guess is $95 I also think the value of non restricted resorts will go up (My wishful thinking )

Yeah.... I think $85-95 is more likely... My view is $85 is a fairer price, due to the high points chart, but it is a nice resort...

To me the real question is, does Disney cut corners as the resort sells out - especially if over time they find many of the owners are resale members... Riviera was marketed as a luxury resort, but there's nothing really requiring that... So, if it doesn't maintain that sort of "veneer" - in both the hard and soft goods, to say nothing of the dining, grounds, etc., I could see that impacting resale prices.

 

[Girlstar30]

Yeah.... I think $85-95 is more likely... My view is $85 is a fairer price, due to the high points chart, but it is a nice resort...

To me the real question is, does Disney cut corners as the resort sells out - especially if over time they find many of the owners are resale members... Riviera was marketed as a luxury resort, but there's nothing really requiring that... So, if it doesn't maintain that sort of "veneer" - in both the hard and soft goods, to say nothing of the dining, grounds, etc., I could see that impacting resale prices.

I agree with this actually and I think it would be fair. Only getting to stay at one resort vs 13 others is a big deal.

What happens when a new luxury resort is built and riv is older? What if riv 2 comes about with more bells and whistles?

The location is not walkable to Epcot which is the same reason I give more of an edge to the monorail resorts than ccv/brv/lsl. So I dont think it will ever be as popular price wise as bwv and bcv have been able to get away with for this long.

 

[Cfabar1]

I agree with this actually and I think it would be fair. Only getting to stay at one resort vs 13 others is a big deal.

What happens when a new luxury resort is built and riv is older? What if riv 2 comes about with more bells and whistles?

The location is not walkable to Epcot which is the same reason I give more of an edge to the monorail resorts than ccv/brv/lsl. So I dont think it will ever be as popular price wise as bwv and bcv have been able to get away with for this long.

Exactly! and keep in mind the other resorts on the Skyliner are a moderate and two value resorts... And prior to the Skyliner, Carribbean Beach was hardly considered the crown jewel of moderate resorts! So the Skyliner isn't necessarily tied to "luxury" in the same way the monorail resorts are all Deluxe....

 

[Girlstar30]

Exactly! and keep in mind the other resorts on the Skyliner are a moderate and two value resorts... And prior to the Skyliner, Carribbean Beach was hardly considered the crown jewel of moderate resorts! So the Skyliner isn't necessarily tied to "luxury" in the same way the monorail resorts are all Deluxe....

This time we actually had time to walk around the different resorts and I was surprised how close vgf was to Poly walking distance! Proximity really makes a big difference esp to other deluxe resorts. It was so nice to take the monorail to poly, do some christmas shopping, and then walk to vgf and eat dinner.

I think akv is a good example of how much proximity matters. Such a beautiful resort and people literally dismiss it entirely because of the transportation option and it sits at $95. Ofc to some the skyliner is way better than a bus, but it still doesnt have the walking distance advantage that bcv and bwv have to still sell in the $120s. Yes it has a longer contract, but a lot of resales contracts also have 30+ years on them which is a long time.

 

[VGCgroupie]

This time we actually had time to walk around the different resorts and I was surprised how close vgf was to Poly walking distance! Proximity really makes a big difference esp to other deluxe resorts. It was so nice to take the monorail to poly, do some christmas shopping, and then walk to vgf and eat dinner.

I think akv is a good example of how much proximity matters. Such a beautiful resort and people literally dismiss it entirely because of the transportation option and it sits at $95. Ofc to some the skyliner is way better than a bus, but it still doesnt have the walking distance advantage that bcv and bwv have to still sell in the $120s. Yes it has a longer contract, but a lot of resales contracts also have 30+ years on them which is a long time.

I know you didn’t used to really understand why people bought crescent lake, I didn’t either. Then I stayed at Boardwalk and was like okaaayyyy I get it now. The whole place is a total vibe and the walk to Epcot and HS is so short. If you want to boat instead it’s right there! I like the boat over the monorail because of the fresh air breeze.

 

[Girlstar30]

I know you didn’t used to really understand why people bought crescent lake, I didn’t either. Then I stayed at Boardwalk and was like okaaayyyy I get it now. The whole place is a total vibe and the walk to Epcot and HS is so short. If you want to boat instead it’s right there! I like the boat over the monorail because of the fresh air breeze.

I totally didnt. I thought people were crazy to pay so much for something that expires in half the time as something else until I stayed there

If I had kids I could totally see myself buying bwv or bcv. The convenience of the short walk, how much fun I had with my 6 year old cousin at the kids sand pool at bcv and the fun we had at BWV would be worth the family memories.

I would also be very happy as an adult with all the dining options on the Boardwalk and walking to my favorite park. As soon as they repurpose it to hopefully the same thing in 2042 I will be buying there and going until im 90

 

[VGCgroupie]

I totally didnt. I thought people were crazy to pay so much for something that expires in half the time as something else until I stayed there

If I had kids I could totally see myself buying bwv or bcv. The convenience of the short walk, how much fun I had with my 6 year old cousin at the kids sand pool at bcv and the fun we had at BWV would be worth the family memories.

I would also be very happy as an adult with all the dining options on the Boardwalk and walking to my favorite park. As soon as they repurpose it to hopefully the same thing in 2042 I will be buying there and going until im 90

I can’t believe they shut down Jellyrolls before either of us could experience it.

 

[Girlstar30]

I can’t believe they shut down Jellyrolls before either of us could experience it.

I know! I thought about that when I went to cakebake this time, why did they close it, I heard it was pretty popular!

We did venture out into the Atlantic Dance Hall nightclub this time and that was quite the experience, I thought it was just a facade and not an actual nightclub, I was surprised they had that, I would have loved this resort even more 15 years ago

 

[VGCgroupie]

I know! I thought about that when I went to cakebake this time, why did they close it, I heard it was pretty popular!

We did venture out into the Atlantic Dance Hall nightclub this time and that was quite the experience, I thought it was just a facade and not an actual nightclub, I was surprised they had that, I would have loved this resort even more 15 years ago

Since I always have a kid in tow I didnt realize there was still a night club there. I am old. But I am so down for that! Maybe I need another adults only trip that isn’t just about checking out DVC.

 

[Girlstar30]

Since I always have a kid in tow I didnt realize there was still a night club there. I am old. But I am so down for that! Maybe I need another adults only trip that isn’t just about checking out DVC.

Yes there is and its open pretty late for Disney i believe 1 am on the weekends and it was actually really fun!

They had a dj, huge music video screens of songs from when I used to go clubbing, bar, and a lot of amusing inappropriateness going on for Disney BWV giving me flashbacks and nostalgia again

We also said it would be really fun to bring some friends and go back and stay there, so convenient to walk back after a night out!

 

[Patmcpsu]

Exactly! and keep in mind the other resorts on the Skyliner are a moderate and two value resorts... And prior to the Skyliner, Carribbean Beach was hardly considered the crown jewel of moderate resorts! So the Skyliner isn't necessarily tied to "luxury" in the same way the monorail resorts are all Deluxe....

Caribbean Beach is a little long in the tooth, and I wouldn't be surprised if they replace it with a Deluxe resort (or probably multiple). It occupies prime real estate; being the only location where you can take the Skyliner to both parks without a transfer.

I've said it multiple times on the DIS Boards, but the Skyliner transfer station (or surrounding area) should be a destination onto itself like Crescent Lake is. Disney is wasting a lot of foot traffic on nothingness.

AoA and PC would still technically be Skyliner resorts, but on their own spur requiring a transfer to the parks.

 

[Brianstl]

I think Riviera’s dynamics are fundamentally different from what would be required for a sustained drop into the 90s.

For resale to slide that far, you’d need a combination of weak demand and sustained Disney indifference. I don’t see either as very likely once Riviera is sold out. Yes, new resorts will always take precedence in active sales, but that doesn’t mean Disney stops caring about the pricing optics of its most recently sold-out flagship Skyliner EP/HS-area resort. Riviera will immediately become a comparison tool - both for direct buyers “look what this costs now” and for ROFR strategy.

The restriction cuts both ways. It absolutely caps resale demand compared to unrestricted resorts, but it also concentrates demand among a specific buyer profile: people who already have blue card access and want Riviera specifically for long-term use. That’s a smaller pool, but it’s also a stickier one. Those buyers aren’t shopping Riviera resale the same way they’d shop OKW or SSR - they’re comparing it to a $250–265 direct alternative, not to other resale options.

I also think ROFR matters more than many give it credit for. Disney doesn’t need to aggressively ROFR every contract, but selectively stepping in around the low $100s stabilizes pricing with very little inventory risk, especially when those points can later be resold direct at a significant premium. That alone makes a sustained drop into the 90s less attractive for them to allow.

Could Riviera resale dip temporarily? Sure - markets wobble, and sentiment shifts. But a durable move into the 90s would imply Riviera has become functionally undesirable, and that just doesn’t square with its location, point charts, or how owners actually use it.

I think Riviera resale is more likely to find a floor and flatten than to meaningfully reset downward. I’d be surprised if DVC lets it drift that far without stepping in.

The fundamentals are whatever Disney decides they want them to be. If at some point Disney decides they want to kill the resale market by actually doing something about commercial renting at all resorts, the resale price for RIV will drop well below 90. Right now they have decided to avoid that strategy, but all it will take to change that is the right presentation from a bean counter that convinces them that it is good idea to tank the resale market to dramatically reduce the price Disney has to pay in ROFR and increase the margin they make reselling those points themselves.

 

[jcolvin5]

The fundamentals are whatever Disney decides they want them to be. If at some point Disney decides they want to kill the resale market by actually doing something about commercial renting at all resorts, the resale price for RIV will drop well below 90. Right now they have decided to avoid that strategy, but all it will take to change that is the right presentation from a bean counter that convinces them that it is good idea to tank the resale market to dramatically reduce the price Disney has to pay in ROFR and increase the margin they make reselling those points themselves.

I agree that Disney ultimately controls the levers, but I think that actually reinforces the case against a sustained collapse.

Actively “killing” the resale market would be a blunt instrument with significant second-order effects: it would erode owner confidence, depress perceived long-term value, and make direct purchases harder, not easier, to sell. That’s a very different strategy than selectively managing ROFR and rental enforcement to keep pricing within a band that supports direct optics.

More importantly, tanking resale to reduce ROFR costs doesn’t meaningfully improve Disney’s position unless it also damages the direct value proposition. If the goal were simply margin maximization, they’d already be far more aggressive on restrictions and enforcement across the board.

Could Disney change course? Of course. But doing so would imply a strategic shift away from DVC as a premium, trust-based product. Short of that, it’s far more rational for them to manage resale selectively than to intentionally collapse it.

 

[disneylandtour]

I can’t believe they shut down Jellyrolls before either of us could experience it.

Jellyrolls was a cash machine. Cover charge to pay for pianists--and also contribute to profit. Nearly everyone buying multiple drinks at $15-$20 a pop. I don't think I was ever there when it wasn't packed by 10pm. I totally understand why ESPN and Great River closed down the way. But this one was a head scratcher--unless problems with people over-indulging (which was pretty common) was creating issues elsewhere on property.

 

[VGCgroupie]

Jellyrolls was a cash machine. Cover charge to pay for pianists--and also contribute to profit. Nearly everyone buying multiple drinks at $15-$20 a pop. I don't think I was ever there when it wasn't packed by 10pm. I totally understand why ESPN and Great River closed down the way. But this one was a head scratcher--unless problems with people over-indulging (which was pretty common) was creating issues elsewhere on property.

Interesting! Would’ve been fun to experience just once. I do see how things could out of hand when alcohol is involved, even expensive alcohol.

 

[Cfabar1]

Since I always have a kid in tow I didnt realize there was still a night club there. I am old. But I am so down for that! Maybe I need another adults only trip that isn’t just about checking out DVC.

That is our issue! With both Jellyrolls and Atlantic Dance Hall... Can't imagine we are alone...

Remember, the Eisner vision for Disney World was a much broader market/clientele - especially at Crescent Lake and Downtown Disney/Pleasure Island. A tame version of Vegas seems to be what the idea was at the time.

 

[Cfabar1]

I agree that Disney ultimately controls the levers, but I think that actually reinforces the case against a sustained collapse.

Actively “killing” the resale market would be a blunt instrument with significant second-order effects: it would erode owner confidence, depress perceived long-term value, and make direct purchases harder, not easier, to sell. That’s a very different strategy than selectively managing ROFR and rental enforcement to keep pricing within a band that supports direct optics.

More importantly, tanking resale to reduce ROFR costs doesn’t meaningfully improve Disney’s position unless it also damages the direct value proposition. If the goal were simply margin maximization, they’d already be far more aggressive on restrictions and enforcement across the board.

I'd like to agree with you, but looking at Marriott Vacation Club, Hyatt Vacation Club, Vistana Vacation Club, and so many of the other clubs I'm not sure I can get there...

People seem to continue buying these properties and/or properties direct from the developer, even though resale can be had for a small fraction.

I think the idea that Disney is inherently better/cares more is marketing.

 

[jcolvin5]

I'd like to agree with you, but looking at Marriott Vacation Club, Hyatt Vacation Club, Vistana Vacation Club, and so many of the other clubs I'm not sure I can get there...

People seem to continue buying these properties and/or properties direct from the developer, even though resale can be had for a small fraction.

I think the idea that Disney is inherently better/cares more is marketing.

I don’t think Disney is inherently benevolent or uniquely principled either. The difference isn’t marketing, it’s incentives.

Other systems tolerate near-zero resale value because their direct sales models don’t depend on long-term price stability. Disney’s does. DVC has positioned itself as a premium product where owners can expect relatively stable long-term value, and that confidence is a big reason buyers are willing to pay high direct prices.

Riviera isn’t sold out yet, but once it is, it becomes a pricing reference point. Intentionally allowing resale values to collapse would undercut the very optics that support future direct sales. Could Disney change course and treat DVC like MVC or Vistana? Sure, but that would be a fundamental shift in strategy. Absent a clear need to make that pivot, managing resale optics remains the more rational path.