So we're Disney people. We love Disney and go a couple times a year (DL &/or WDW). Recently discovered cruising with
DCL and LOVE it. We went to the presentation of the DVC on the ship last week, but I just cannot see how it makes sense. For us, at least. I am guessing that it must just not make sense for some people?
I'd really like to say that we are DVC owners, but I am not sure it works for us. Any thoughts?
The biggest downfall is that we don't stay on property at WDW. We don't like it; we stay at Windsor Hills and love it there (in a 3 bdr. townhouse with private pool, and way better beds and linens than Disney). We'd rent a car and park at the parks even if we stayed on property, as we hate taking disney's shuttle buses. Our cost staying in a whole house off property is something like $125 a night on the high season, so considerably cheaper than the DVC points for a much better accommodation. Just for the maintenance fees a year we stay for almost two weeks in a house... so I'm not getting why we'd pay $20,000+ in addition to the yearly maintenance fee. Am I missing something?
It's not for everyone, for sure. But maybe I can give you some insight into why it worked for us...and you can see why it might not work for you.
We paid cash (actually, we paid a good chunk in cash and financed the last bit for 90-ish days while I was awaiting a bonus pay out) for the initial investment. We prefer to stay on-site (and, actually, drive down to Orlando most of the time...so we have our car). We have a family of 5. We go, at least, 2 out of every 3 years. We absolutely LOVE AKL/AKV (and did prior to buying in). We are planners of an almost obsessive type.

We only plan to use our points at WDW hotels/rooms.
We bought when AKV first came out...and paid under 20 grand for our points...for the full 50 years of use.
We pay right around $1000 per year in maint fees, right now. We get about a week in a 1BR SV room every year in Adventure season (typically when we travel...occasionally Choice season). Honestly, since we go 2 out of every 3 years...we tend to do 2 BR's or longer trips, using the banking/borrowing options to do it. That being said, those options are restrictive.
Our nightly room rate works out to about $200 a night (and that includes dividing out our initial investment over 20 years) this year...well under what you can find on property for similar accommodations, especially considering our family size. This year, we're actually 6 and have a 2BR for 9 nights...because we've been building up "extra" points for a bit...and we won't be taking a 2013 trip (work commitments..which is why we have the travel schedule we do).
Add to that fact that Disney room rates have been climbing faster than our annual dues have..and you have a much gentler "curve" to on property nightly rates. Using historical dues and room rate increases..we figure our break even point is right around 8 years. To add to that...those projections actually were pretty close on room rate increases (projected at 4.25% increase each year)...but actual dues are running behind the projections I did (projected at 3.12% annual increase).
We also factored in opportunity cost (ie: investing the initial buy in, adding our projected annual dues, and using it to pay for our vacations over time). We went net negative after about 12 years, using an average 10 year interest rate when we purchased (2007), and assuming rack rates. The only way we could make it work out the other way (net positive after 50 years) is to assume a 20%-30% discount code every year...which certainly has been available for certain times, pretty much since we purchased. But even then it was relatively close (we had $45.60 in the account after 50 years).
Now, I haven't costed things out since the per point price has risen, so those figures/projections are outdated. But back when we bought, it made sense to us.