I understand your points. I am working through this from my standpoint.
In December tests you were able to pre schedule and pull FP. If I couldn't pull FP, I am not sure i would waste one of my three FP+ choices on the 9-10 am window. That would be an excellent time to take advantage of short lines elsewhere in the park. I would prefer to schedule my FP during the busy times when lines are longer.
And that's certainly your prerogative. Personally, I didn't give any consideration to the paper FP still being available. I considered our arrival time and the FP attractions we wanted to visit, and spread them out across the morning.
I think most people will figure this out.
I don't...for the same reason that not all people look at the "best parks" according to sites like TouringPlans or TourGuideMike. For the same reason people don't download the "most efficient" touring plans and follow them to the letter. For the same reason a lot of people skip both morning and evening EMH even though they are clearly beneficial.
SOME people like yourself will micromanage their trips and cherry-pick the "best" ride times and the "best" attractions. The vast majority (IMO) will simply fly by the seat of their pants. Just as they do today.
I definitely don't want to schedule any FP in DAK after the parade, that would be a waste.
You may think that it's a "waste" but that's only in relation to your own personal experiences. To many other guests--both experienced and inexperienced--an Expedition Everest FP for 4:15 has the same value as one for 12:15. Both are good for one ride on the attraction.
They either don't know...or don't care...or don't consider that their FP+ allotment may be more efficiently used elsewhere.
As for less satisfying? I didn't say that. I do think people will have to be on their toes and book early to get the best time slots.
But again, your "best" is not necessarily equal to my "best."
Given the fact that they have about tripled the number of FP+ experiences AND are (apparently) limiting all guests to just 3 per day AND are grouping the attractions, the system has ample capacity for day-of FP reservations.
The earlier times will probably go sooner on the day-of. If people are physically in the parks, makes sense for them to book a ride as early as possible. But it's still a marked improvement over the current take-it-or-leave-it approach.
This whole thing works extremely well for TSMM and soarin. everything else is about a wash.
Not sure what you mean by a "wash." I think there are many benefits for all parks and most experiences...particularly for the late-risers and those who don't plan to spend an entire day in a park. If I have plans to arrive at Hollywood Studios around dinner time, being able to schedule Rock N Rollercoaster at 6pm, Star Tours at 7pm and Fantasmic at 8pm is very beneficial.
Personally, I won't be grabbing any FPs for Haunted Mansion or MuppetVision. And I do still think 3 FPs per day is 1-2 short of optimal. But in most other respects, I view this as a vast improvement.