This may penalize the very same people who made Disney huge sums of money, people with huge contracts who may want to downsize in the future may have a challenge selling those points.
"Loyalty" in the commerce world is not about rewarding people who gave you money in the past. It's about rewarding people who might choose give you money in the future. Someone *selling* a contract is not only not giving money to Disney, they are supplying alternative inventory to someone who might otherwise give money to Disney. In short, they are the last people Disney could possibly want to "reward".
Note that a large point owner does have to pay (largish) MFs. But, those aren't by choice; the owner is legally obligated to do so. So, those too don't count as "loyalty" worth rewarding.
But that might not be true of first time buyers. How many DVC owners were on the Disboards before buying? When we bought our 500 points, we knew nothing about resale.
Right---but, as a first time buyer with no knowledge of resale, it's probably the case that you didn't do much research before buying. Otherwise, you'd've known about it. Maybe after taking the tour, but probably not before. You might have done that research---and it might have been long enough ago that resale wasn't such a well-known option, or wasn't necessarily economically viable. But, that was then and this is now. Right now, if someone is considering a resale purchase when they visit the sales floor, it means that they *definitely* did *some* research before going on the tour. As an aside, that is probably not the case for most of the people on the tour---I'd bet a mickeybar that most tour guests never considered DVC before they decided to tour, beyond maybe seeing it on Resort TV.
If it causes a drastic dip in resale prices (I don't think it will), DVD may need to reevaluate.
A dip in resale prices, by itself, would not be cause for alarm. Disney doesn't care about that. What they care about is the total flow of tour guests, and the rate of conversion of those guests. The resale price may impact tour flow and conversion rate, but this smoke-and-mirrors change is meant to counteract that, and convert some on the fence between resale and retail. And, in some cases, it will work. So, if the total flow doesn't go down, or the conversion rate goes up enough to compensate, it won't matter what the resale price is. Disney wins.
I have a feeling this is going to kill resale values.
For reasons mentioned above, I disagree. Most serious resale purchasers are resale purchasers *because* they understand the system well. This won't change their minds, because these options are almost universally poor uses of points vs. using in DVC or renting reservations.