This is what I calculated thus far for my Husband and I (2 adults):
Last year Nov 2015: Stayed at Caribbean Beach standard room on
Free Dining promotion with Deluxe Dining upgrade for 6 nights, Sunday-Friday night (checkout on Saturday) Choose 7 day park hoppers (required hoppers or better for FD promotion) Cost of package: $2390.14
**So, the price to beat or come close to is $2390.14**
Cost of adding the Deluxe Dining Plan to a DVC rental for 6 nights: $1340.76
Cost of 2 7-day park hoppers from
Undercover Tourist: $817.90
Total of Dining plan and Tickets: $2158.66
Points to stay at Deluxe in 2016, staying the same week in November, same amount of nights, (6), Sunday-Friday night, checking out Saturday. I included the two cheapest Deluxe resorts listed on the points chart:
Animal Kingdom Lodge Value Studio: 57 /Standard Studio: 74 Boardwalk or Old Key West Studio: 64
If I rented points from the DVC rent/trade board here on DIS, the average price I saw was $13pp.
So, AKL Value: $741 AKL Standard: $962 BW/OKW Standard: $832
Adding it all up, total for Deluxe Dining Plan, park hopper tickets, and Deluxe stay using DVC points rental:
AKL Value: $ 2899.66 AKL Standard: 3120.66 BW/OKW Standard: 2990.66
Price difference from 2015 Moderate with the FD promotion:
AKL Value: $509.52 more for Deluxe on Pts vs Moderate on FD
AKL Standard: $730.52 more for Deluxe on Pts vs Moderate on FD
BW Standard: $ 600.52more for Deluxe on Pts vs Moderate on FD
So, in conclusion, It would cost me only $600 more (or 500 if I could snag the elusive AKL Value studio) to stay at a Deluxe resort on the Deluxe Dining plan than it would for me to do the same trip using FD promotion and stay at a Moderate.
I think the $600 is well worth it to upgrade to Deluxe!!! Of course, I loose the ability to cancel the trip once I book it on points (depending on if I want to buy
trip insurance, who I rent from, etc) but I think overall its definitely an option for me and my husband to pursue this year!!