Lumpy1106
DIS Veteran
- Joined
- Jul 2, 2010
- Messages
- 4,489
I was actually searching for a different article that predicted how the virus would play out through the winter. Seems like I saw one really early on and it had graphs for a couple of different scenarios, one of which I recall came really close to what happened - can't find the article right now though. Anyway, I did find this article and I found it interesting to see what the experts got right and wrong to maybe get a better feel for what happens next. Here's the article from August 5;
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02278-5
The author predicted (worldwide, by March '21):
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02278-5
The author predicted (worldwide, by March '21):
- 294 Million infections (Actual right now, 107.75 Million)
- 2.01 Million deaths (actual right now, 2.36 Million)