BrianLo
Mouseketeer
- Joined
- Mar 29, 2019
- Messages
- 479
As it pertains to this thought experiment, here are the values I think that matter on the spread.
1) There is a discrete monetary advantage by buying a like-for-like contact between DVD and a random seller.
A- In terms of closing costs.
B- The contracts cannot be stripped, so we are comparing like-for-like
C- Being able to pay or spread out the entire contract on credit cards
D- Being able to choose the exact specific contract you want, without haggling. No over or under buying points.
2) There is the possibility to have DVC pro-rate maintenance fees in the extreme for Dec Use years when a contract is bought in the Fall
3) There is a washable value on points. Both through the features to use them unrestricted as sleep around points and for Blue Card Benefits
4) There is a less tangible ease of buying direct
I'd value;
1- Probably around 10 dollars.
2- From 0-7 dollars depending on your situation
3- At least 10 dollars for every resale, I'd argue 15 as a baseline on the extremes of the fully restricted resorts. I think if market tested with an offer, people would jump at even higher figures.
4- This value can run negative when people get extreme loaded contracts (so not like-for-like), enjoy negotiating and are good at it. Are patient and have time. This value can become highly positive for some people as a personality trait. Wanting to book something ASAP. All things equal it's an annoyance so it hovers around zero.
So in terms of RIV, I think if people say a direct contract is not worth at least 25pp dollars more than a resale, they are really just arguing from a strange place of opinion. 30-40 is still pretty favourable for direct or quite positive with the right situation. Various posters could fairly easily justify 40-50 dollars - and clearly do, since direct sells so well.
So yes, 167pp seems logical. Posters would trip over themselves if we started hitting 150's, rightly so.
Now if you wouldn't accept a RIV contract if it was given to you for free, that's moot. But it would still be worth 25-50 dollars more than a resale contract given to you 'for free'. Assuming you keep it. Everyone loses money, no matter what, if you turn around and sell immediately. The whole house of cards of DVC is not predicting the future, but also not selling the contract within 2-3 years of buying.
1) There is a discrete monetary advantage by buying a like-for-like contact between DVD and a random seller.
A- In terms of closing costs.
B- The contracts cannot be stripped, so we are comparing like-for-like
C- Being able to pay or spread out the entire contract on credit cards
D- Being able to choose the exact specific contract you want, without haggling. No over or under buying points.
2) There is the possibility to have DVC pro-rate maintenance fees in the extreme for Dec Use years when a contract is bought in the Fall
3) There is a washable value on points. Both through the features to use them unrestricted as sleep around points and for Blue Card Benefits
4) There is a less tangible ease of buying direct
I'd value;
1- Probably around 10 dollars.
2- From 0-7 dollars depending on your situation
3- At least 10 dollars for every resale, I'd argue 15 as a baseline on the extremes of the fully restricted resorts. I think if market tested with an offer, people would jump at even higher figures.
4- This value can run negative when people get extreme loaded contracts (so not like-for-like), enjoy negotiating and are good at it. Are patient and have time. This value can become highly positive for some people as a personality trait. Wanting to book something ASAP. All things equal it's an annoyance so it hovers around zero.
So in terms of RIV, I think if people say a direct contract is not worth at least 25pp dollars more than a resale, they are really just arguing from a strange place of opinion. 30-40 is still pretty favourable for direct or quite positive with the right situation. Various posters could fairly easily justify 40-50 dollars - and clearly do, since direct sells so well.
So yes, 167pp seems logical. Posters would trip over themselves if we started hitting 150's, rightly so.
Now if you wouldn't accept a RIV contract if it was given to you for free, that's moot. But it would still be worth 25-50 dollars more than a resale contract given to you 'for free'. Assuming you keep it. Everyone loses money, no matter what, if you turn around and sell immediately. The whole house of cards of DVC is not predicting the future, but also not selling the contract within 2-3 years of buying.