We owned 100 resale at CCV, bought 150 direct at poly a year ago and just did 150 direct at CCV. We are in a whole other level than you are lol, but just adding some context. A couple of thoughts.
We cant predict the future, but Disney has made it clear they are going full thermonuclear war on resale. While nothing could change over time, or everything could change over time, one thing is for sure, direct points will always get you the best options compared to resale at any point in time. You can also bet that it will never be cheaper than it is now to buy direct at
DVC. Barring the unusual “flash sale” it seems to me the costs will only incrementally get more and more expensive. So I am trying to future proof myself as much as I can financially. I am not trying to min/max my purchase, im trying to ensure that I can enjoy my ownership 20 or 30 years from now as much as I do today. Why save $8,000 now if in a few years I hate my purchase because I cant do what I want with it. Buying in direct to right that wrong may cost me just as much or even more.
You also don’t elude to how old you are, but 2042 will be here before you know it and there will be a pretty big seismic shift in DVC then. I plan on actively using my points well into the 2050s (hopefully) and I want to be in a good place for whatever comes when that day hits.
So, my vote is, if you can financially afford to do it, you love the resort you are buying at, then i say pull the trigger and add the points direct at CCV since I don’t know when we will ever see an opportunity like this at a resort with great theming, a good
point charts, and an exceptional expiration date.