Lurker finally registering an account to say hi, and to chip in a bit of my perspective on the Shanghai park because I've spent quite a bit of time as an American traveling throughout Asia.
Have they over saturated their market in Asia? What was the motive/rationale for having two parks in Asia anyway?
(Not begrudging it, just confused).
The most important reason is probably language. Tokyo operates a park in Japanese characters and language. Hong Kong operates a park where the first written language is in traditional Chinese characters and the first spoken language is in Cantonese. But everyone in mainland China uses simplified Chinese characters and speaks a different language, Mandarin. None of these three languages is mutually intelligible when spoken...
While the written characters share a common heritage, and Hong Kong
Disneyland certainly courts mainland visitors - there's absolutely a need for a park presented in their native language. The Tokyo park in particular is unlikely to draw visitors from China, and there's a growing amount of resistance from locals in Hong Kong to increased mainland tourism.
Disneyland Paris benefits from the widespread usage of English across the European Union as a common denominator language; there's no such convenient alternative for the major Asian languages yet (although English may fill that role sooner rather than later!)
Shanghai may be more like Tokyo in that it's an Asian super-megalopolis which therefore has a built-in local customer base of 10-20 million people within a short commute of the park.
This is true - Shanghai is the largest city proper in the world and a very vibrant market in and of itself. But don't discount its position within mainland China, either - both Beijing and Shanghai are aspirational cities to visit for people throughout China. It's already a built-in tourist destination with fantastic transport connectivity and a neverending stream of visitors - much like Paris is in Europe. I think this park will be very well positioned to pull in a steady stream of new guests.
Shanghai may be positioned culturally and politically towards the USA more like France however ... somewhat hostile in other words. It's not a question of whether ordinary people all over the world are attracted to warm-hearted stories and lovable characters ... they are. It's a question of whether the "establishment" of a country feels politically hostile to anything that seems too "American". Not that they have any really strong reason to dislike America, but simply because it's beneficial for the leadership to promote anti-Americanism for reasons of domestic politics.
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I'm just speculating ... but the political and cultural headwind may be working against Disney in Shanghai as I think it works against them in Paris.
Shanghai is an interesting place. For most of its history, it's been the city in mainland China that has been the most open and welcoming to foreigners. In the 1850s, the city was designated as a hub for western trade; it was divided into fourths and run by the Americans, Germans, British and French. The Bund - the waterfront promenade - still has a very western feel and looks more like 1920s New York than a Chinese city. And if you squint while walking through the French Concession, you could easily imagine yourself in Europe. This heritage has left the city very receptive to western ideas, and you'd be hard pressed to describe the people and culture as a hostile environment...
Most Chinese people are actually very open and receptive to Western culture and ideas. They're certainly proud of their own country, too - don't get me wrong - but there isn't a general hostility toward the US at all that I've encountered in my travels. Far from it - Disney characters are everywhere, western movies are popular, and people actually have a more positive perception of America than most western Europeans do. I can barely walk a block in China without people approaching me, wanting to practice their English and take a selfie with me - it gives me a taste of what being a character in a park must be like!
(This is referring to everyday citizens, of course - leaders of all kinds often take much more aggressive positions for a variety of reasons ranging from politics to trade, and that's what we hear more about in our news reports. But even there, I think everyone recognizes that a healthy, balanced relationship between the US and China is beneficial to both parties.)
That is true but the people [in Hong Kong] were still very influenced by the British. Whereas Shanghai is true mainland China.
Hong Kong and Shanghai actually have a surprisingly large amount in common; both had a British colonial period, both are prosperous financial centers with gleaming new downtowns. But as rteetz says, it's important to recognize that Hong Kong is a completely distinct region from the rest of mainland China - they're proud of their separate governance and the city has developed a culture all its own.
The main risk to Disney from opening a Shanghai park is cannibalizing the Hong Kong Disneyland market. For now, it won't be a problem - HK is extremely popular among mainlanders because it has a perception of offering higher quality products and services, and there are enough visitors to keep both running well. But in 20 years, if the Shanghai park ends up wildly successful, people may choose to go there instead and bypass HK entirely... leaving HK's primary audience as only Australian and Southeast Asian visitors.
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Long story short, as a US based Disney visitor, all the cuts coming this year are a major bummer. But as a world traveler, I'm super excited to see the new park in Shanghai coming together, and I think it will quickly be known both a source of new rides for us to enjoy and an attraction all its own. I'd encourage all of you to consider eventually visiting China and experiencing the new park (as well as all the other attractions of both Beijing and Shanghai). I find both Hong Kong and the mainland to each be really, really rewarding places to visit, and I believe both would well exceed your expectations if all of your impressions of China are based on what you've seen on TV.
For now, though, I'd nudge you all towards Japan, instead - the currency exchange rate is very favorable right now and airfares are low, making a trip very affordable. And Japan is extremely accessible to westerners - it's the perfect balance of excitingly unfamiliar and comfortably welcoming. Maybe the best part is discovering the vast array of delicious food that would satisfy even the pickiest eater (it's not just sushi!). If you're frustrated with the Disney cutbacks stateside this year, why not plan a trip to Tokyo Disneyland instead? Just make sure to add plenty of extra time to explore Tokyo and Kyoto
(Way off topic for this board, but if you're considering a trip to either China or Japan, I'd love to hear from you via private message - I may be able to help offer some advice!)