I've heard
Disneyland had a lot more AP holders than WDW does. I don't have a credible source, but a friend of mine told me a CM at Disneyland told him there are significantly more Disneyland AP holders (like 10x more) than WDW and some of them had grandfathered in perks like free parking. Disney had planned to revamp the AP system at Disneyland before the pandemic, but since it was closed for so long they took the opportunity to do it early.
OCR estimates that half of the visits to Disneyland are by AP holders though and that they had 1 million AP holders ... "Combined, Disneyland and DCA draw an estimated 28.6 million visitors annually, according to TEA/AECOM. Passholders make up 14.3 million of those visits each year, based on the UBS estimates." ... "The attendance numbers from TEA/AECOM don’t represent park capacity, but they give a sense of the daunting challenge of accommodating 1 million passholders presented Disneyland."
Source:
https://www.ocregister.com/2021/02/...ccounted-for-half-of-attendance-analysts-say/
Another source citing 1 million AP holders in Disney Land -
"The Los Angeles Times reported Disneyland has an estimated one million passholders.
“There’s probably more passholders in Disneyland than there is in Disney World,” Munarriz said. “Disney will need its Disney World passholders more than Disneyland passholders in the near future.”"
https://www.orlandosentinel.com/bus...0210120-x6hu23nf7fanlpvgt6ij4th42m-story.html
Couldn't easily find anything that says how many AP holders Disney World has.
That isn't to say WDW won't eventually follow suit, but I do think there is less of a problem at WDW with local APs versus Disneyland - and as such, I suspect Disney will test things out first at Disneyland before they make any changes to WDW.
I also heard (not sure if it is true, maybe someone else can confirm?) that Disney has an agreement with the Florida government to offer discounts to Florida residents - and I'm sure in return they get something, it may have been part of the establishment of the Reedy Creek Improvement district? I don't know if it specifically calls out annual passes, might just be a discount for Florida residents.
As far as DVC is concerned, I'm a DVC member myself - and I don't think Disney will make any AP decisions based solely on us.
If the DVC AP perk goes away, it will eventually be replaced with something else. Maybe discounted tickets, or if paid Fastpass becomes a thing, maybe DVC members will get it for free or discounted.
Or DVC could opt to work something out with the larger Disney and institute a special ticket option just for DVC blue card members. Imagine if you could get a DVC Annual Pass that is good to visit the parks anytime you are staying on property (cash or points). That would push more direct DVC sales (which is all Disney cares about) and it would also discourage any DVC member from staying offsite. It would probably be a nightmare for Disney IT, but they already have all of the data attached to your
MDE account, so it is feasible for them to work out the logic. At the end of the day, that could accomplish what Disney wants without pissing off DVC members too.