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Mouseketeer
- Joined
- Mar 12, 2023
- Messages
- 233
I did the same analysis before buying my two fixed weeks at Riv in late May and also decided on week 39 as one of them for all the reasons you noted.
The fact that Week 39 decreased significantly in points since the last point adjustment + it being next to a week that’s almost 40 pts more…seemed like a better hedge than others.
Plus, down the road I could actually see myself using it - staying at Riv during F+W and potentially battling fewer crowds sounds good to me!
Lastly, I would probably go with 114 + 86 +50 just to give yourself some options if you needed/wanted to sell either smaller contract.
Good luck with your decision!
When Disney updated the FW points charts in 2023, Week 39 fully fell in September which is rare. Then they didn't update the FW point requirement for that week since they didn't change any of the monthly point charts. Looking at the next 15 years of dates for Week 39 and there are only 3 years where the FW doesn't already come out equal or cheaper than booking on points using the current point charts! Any week 39 that includes 2 October dates breaks even on the current points, more than 2 October days comes up net positive even after accounting for the 10% premium. Needle in the haystack when it comes to FW!
I like your advice on the 114+86+50. Gives me more options should I decide to downsize while still keeping DVC-Y. I also don't expect much price difference on the resale market between an 86, 68, and 50 point contract. The 114 point contract will also be attractive as it will be a FW and still a small point commitment.
I am sold on Week 39 at this point. Thanks for your input! Now the question is do I have the patience to wait until the date I previously told my guide I would be buying or call him sooner?!