??? airfare/flights for the experts

1911

DIS Dad #856
Joined
Apr 6, 2014
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722
so I'm starting to plan next years trip for the summer, probably late july or the first week of august.I have started looking at flights on the airlines that have them listed for that far out and am noticing that prices seem to be quite high no matter the day or time we choose.Delta for instance shows basic economy seats as sold out for most flights.
I figured the sooner the better to book a flight, am I simply looking to soon?
 
Does Southwest fly out near you? If so, wait for their flights to open. Around me other airline prices drop when SW opens their dates.
 
Does Southwest fly out near you? If so, wait for their flights to open. Around me other airline prices drop when SW opens their dates.
we can fly out of lax or sfo but find flights are generally cheaper out of lax
 

I realize that, I was just taken back a bit by the increase from this years flights to next years across all carriers. what I found really interesting is that deltas basic economy seats show as sold out for most flights in july and august for the flights I was checking out of lax.something I didn't think would be an issue at 9 months out.
 
I've been working in and following the travel industry for decades. Unfortunately (for consumers), FCDub's statement about not knowing if prices will go up or down is pretty true.

The only real exceptions to that statement involve times of extreme demand. Examples: Some dates are Thanksgiving, Christmas, and Spring Break for Florida.

At other times, the only way to know pricing strategies is if you have access to proprietary information at each airline. And even then you might not know because the majority of decisions are made by software using insanely complex math.

My Advice: Check the prices for days around when you are traveling (even if your dates are set in concrete). Also, check the same day of week plus/minus two weeks (i.e. if you're flying on a Friday, check the two previous and subsequent Fridays). Doing all of that might give you a glimpse into whether your travel days are special. If your days are substantially higher than other times, that's an indication that there might be a special event (like a major convention) that is driving up prices. In that situation, prices are unlikely to drop. If pricing is similar all month, there's a far greater chance of price fluctuations.
 


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